Michigan vs Michigan St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

• Michigan is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Michigan St
• Michigan vs. Michigan State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
• TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

Michigan (5-2) visit Spartan Stadium to take on Michigan State (3-4) on Oct. 25 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Michigan vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Michigan St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Michigan vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Michigan Best Bets Today

• Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+15.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 6% ROI)
• Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Michigan State Best Bets Today

• Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 57% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

• Michigan is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.42% ROI
• Michigan is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
• Michigan is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan St iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.35 Units / -17.65% ROI).

• Michigan State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -6.23% ROI
• Michigan State is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
• Michigan State is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 24% of pass attempts (12/50) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State’s RBs has rushed for 1,788 yards on 414 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-7th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Michigan State is 2-11 (.154) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Michigan State

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Michigan State is 2-11 (.154) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 24% of pass attempts (12/50) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State’s RBs has rushed for 1,788 yards on 414 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-7th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 24% of pass attempts (12/50) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State’s RBs has rushed for 1,788 yards on 414 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-7th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Michigan State is 2-11 (.154) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 11.7 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 24% of pass attempts (12/50) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State’s RBs has rushed for 1,788 yards on 414 carries (just 4.3 YPC) since the 2024 season — T-7th-worst among FBS RBs. Michigan’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 2,902 yards on 208 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Michigan State is 2-11 (.154) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .479

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