- Ohio State is a -21 point favorite vs. Michigan
- Michigan vs. Ohio State Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
The Michigan Wolverines (6-5) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (10-1) on Nov. 30 in Columbus, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -21 (-110).
The Michigan vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
Bet now on Ohio State vs Michigan & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Michigan vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan | +21 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +900 |
| Ohio State | -21 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -1600 |
Michigan vs Ohio State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 92.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Ohio State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Michigan vs Ohio State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Ohio State vs Michigan and all games with BetMGM
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 0% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan Player Prop Bets Today
- Kalel Mullings has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Davis Warren has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tyler Morris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Donovan Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Will Howard has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 97% ROI)
- Jeremiah Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Carnell Tate has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.45% ROI).
- Michigan is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 1.02% ROI
- Michigan is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Michigan is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- Ohio State is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 0.32% ROI
- Ohio State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Ohio State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State
Michigan is 17-1 (.944) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .598
Michigan is 16-1 (.941) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .604
Michigan is 18-4 (.818) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .526
Michigan is 21-2 (.913) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .631
Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Ohio State is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: .427
Ohio State is winless (0-2) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .283
Ohio State is undefeated (9-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .689
Ohio State is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .709
Matchup Notes for Michigan vs. Ohio State
Ohio State has 478 receptions in 24 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs has gained 311 yards on 26 receptions (12.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has 478 receptions in 24 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has 211 receptions in 26 games (just 8.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 1,541 passing yards in 11 games (just 140.1 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 151.7 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has 211 receptions in 26 games (just 8.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan’s WRs has 211 receptions in 26 games (just 8.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 1,541 passing yards in 11 games (just 140.1 YPG) this season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 151.7 passing yards per game this season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has 211 receptions in 26 games (just 8.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan has gained 1,541 yards on 170 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan’s WRs has 211 receptions in 26 games (just 8.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State has 478 receptions in 24 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s TEs has gained 311 yards on 26 receptions (12.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has 478 receptions in 24 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 17.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Ohio State’s WRs has gained 2,349 yards on 164 receptions (14.3 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Ohio State has gained 2,877 yards on 223 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.
Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan allowed no passing TDs (24 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.6
Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (6/24) last week– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 6%
Michigan has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (6/24) last week– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Michigan sacked opposing QBs on 25% of pass attempts (6/24) last week– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends
Ohio State has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (35/281) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Ohio State opponents has averaged 70.2 Passing Attempts per TD (281 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 24.0
Ohio State opponents has averaged 70.2 Passing Attempts per TD (281 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.4
Ohio State opponents has averaged 70.2 Passing Attempts per TD (281 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 20.9
Ohio State sacked opposing QBs on 28% of pass attempts (5/18) last week– best in the Big Ten; Average: 6%
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