Michigan St vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

Indiana head coach Curt Cignetti watches from the sideline as his team plays Michigan during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Bloomington, Ind., Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024.
(AP Photo/AJ Mast)
  • Indiana is a -27.5 point favorite vs. Michigan St
  • Michigan State vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: PEAC

Michigan State (3-3) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on Indiana (6-0) on Oct. 18 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-105).

The Michigan State vs. Indiana Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State+27.5 -11552.5 -1051500
Indiana -27.5 -10552.5 -115-5000

Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 91.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan St and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan St is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI).

  • Michigan State is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -4.01% ROI
  • Michigan State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Michigan State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Indiana is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 7.89% ROI
  • Indiana is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Indiana is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State was 2-7 (.222) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Michigan State is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 4.7 yards after the catch this season — 10th-worst among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.9 RAC this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (370 yards/22 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5

Matchup Notes for Michigan State vs. Indiana

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 4.7 yards after the catch this season — 10th-worst among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.9 RAC this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (370 yards/22 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State was 2-7 (.222) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Michigan State is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State was 2-7 (.222) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Michigan State is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 4.7 yards after the catch this season — 10th-worst among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.9 RAC this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (370 yards/22 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State was 3-7 (.300) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .451

Michigan State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Michigan State was 2-7 (.222) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Michigan State is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State TEs had just one touchdown on 50 receptions last season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Big Ten Offenses; Average: 7%

Michigan State have been sacked on 22% of pass attempts (9/41) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%

Michigan State’s RBs has averaged just 4.7 yards after the catch this season — 10th-worst among FBS RBs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.9 RAC this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (370 yards/22 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.5


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