Michigan St vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

• Minnesota is a -3 point favorite vs. Michigan St
• Michigan State vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
• TV Channel: BTN

Michigan State (3-5) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota (5-3) on Nov. 1 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).

The Michigan State vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 53.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan St and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Michigan State Best Bets Today

• Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 61% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Minnesota Best Bets Today

• Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• Minnesota has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• Minnesota has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan St is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4% ROI).

• Michigan State is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -8.34% ROI
• Michigan State is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Michigan State is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota iss 2-6 against the spread this college football season (-4.6 Units / -52.57% ROI).

• Minnesota is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 8.48% ROI
• Minnesota is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
• Minnesota is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15.3

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.2

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 7.6

Michigan State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10%.

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

Minnesota is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Minnesota is 10-3 (.769) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .586

Minnesota is 13-7 (.650) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .527

Matchup Notes for Michigan State vs. Minnesota

Minnesota is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Minnesota is 10-3 (.769) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .586

Minnesota is 13-7 (.650) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .527

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15.3

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.2

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 7.6

Michigan State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10%.

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15.3

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.2

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 7.6

Michigan State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10%.

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Minnesota is 10-3 (.769) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .586

Minnesota is 13-7 (.650) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .527

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 15.3

Michigan State has not recorded a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7.2

Michigan State has no interceptions and 12 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 7.6

Michigan State has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 22 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10%.

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Minnesota was 7-2 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Minnesota is 10-3 (.769) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2024 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .586

Minnesota is 13-7 (.650) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .527

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