Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:39 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Michigan State Spartans (4-5) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (7-2) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Champaign.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Michigan State vs. Illinois is total points.

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Michigan State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State
Illinois

Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Michigan State vs Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Michigan State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Michigan State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Michigan State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Michigan State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Illinois is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Illinois is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Illinois is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Michigan State is 11-2 (.786) when rushing for more than 100 yards — 13th-best in FBS; Average: .537

Michigan State is 10-1 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .544

Michigan State is 13-3 (.812) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 13th-best in FBS; Average: .562

Michigan State is 11-2 (.647) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

#18 Illinois is 5-1 (.625) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

Illinois is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .506

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Matchup Notes for Michigan State vs. Illinois

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State WRs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Michigan State Skill Players have 11 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Michigan State WRs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– 5th most among FBS Teams

Michigan State WRs have averaged just 4.5 yards per reception (45 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Michigan State TEs have been targeted 17 times in the 4th quarter this season– 4th most among Power 5 Teams

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

#21 Illinois RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 42 carries (21 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

#21 Illinois RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (699 yards / 196 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

#21 Illinois RBs have rushed for 10 TDs on 680 carries (68 Carries Per TD) since last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.7

#21 Illinois Skill Players have averaged just 7.4 yards per reception (118 yards/16 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

#21 Illinois Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 31.5 receptions (63 Rec/2 TDs) in close and late situations since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Michigan State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State has intercepted 2 of 268 attempts (134.0 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.0

Michigan State has allowed 8.0 touchdowns per interception (16 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Michigan State has allowed 17 rushing TDs on 140 carries (8.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Michigan State has allowed 319.5 Passing Yards per game (6,710/21) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 240.1

Michigan State has allowed 289 first down receptions since last season– most in FBS

Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

#21 Illinois has allowed a passer rating of just 87.6 (248.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 131.1

#21 Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on 55 of 220 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#21 Illinois has allowed a passer rating of just 87.6 (248.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 126.9

#21 Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (118 completions/248 attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

#21 Illinois opponents has averaged 7.4 Passing Attempts per TD (67 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.