Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:30 PM
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The Michigan State Spartans (3-5) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (8-0) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Ann Arbor.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Michigan State vs. Michigan is total points.

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Michigan State vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State
Michigan

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 76.3% confidence.

Michigan State vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 74.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Michigan State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Michigan State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Michigan State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Michigan State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Michigan is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Michigan is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Michigan is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Michigan State: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan

Michigan State is 13-2 (.812) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .490

Michigan State is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .564

Michigan State is 10-2 (.625) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

Michigan State is winless (0-7) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan State

#4 Michigan is undefeated (15-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — best in FBS; Average: .511

#4 Michigan is 12-1 (.923) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — best in FBS; Average: .376

#4 Michigan is 13-1 (.929) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

#4 Michigan is 14-2 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .419

Matchup Notes for Michigan State vs. Michigan

Michigan’s TEs has 90 receptions in 21 games (4.3 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 16.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan’s RBs has 3 rushing touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-best among FBS RBs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 1.6 rushing touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan’s offense has 62 rushing touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-most among FBS offenses. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 27 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State has gained 4,970 yards on 386 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs has gained 3,768 yards on 255 receptions (14.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan State’s WRs have 185.7 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 166.0 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State WRs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Michigan State Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Michigan State Skill Players have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– 4th most among FBS Teams

Michigan State WRs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Michigan State has gained 4,970 yards on 386 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

#4 Michigan RBs have averaged 15.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (375 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.4

#4 Michigan TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#4 Michigan RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#4 Michigan RBs have rushed for 17 TDs this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#4 Michigan RBs have rushed for 39 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Michigan State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

Michigan State has allowed 328.3 Passing Yards per game (6,237/19) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 240.0

Michigan State has allowed 328.3 Passing Yards per game (6,237/19) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 242.4

Opponents have averaged 27.1 completions per game (514 / 19) against Michigan State since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.4

Michigan State has allowed 6,237 Passing Yards since last season– most in FBS

Michigan State has forced 13 fumbles this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Michigan Wolverines Defensive Stats & Trends

#4 Michigan has allowed a passer rating of just 92.9 (185.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 131.2

#4 Michigan’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 13% of PATs since last season– highest in FBS; Average: 4%

#4 Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (92 completions/185 attempts) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

#4 Michigan has allowed opponents to catch just 92 of 185 passes (50% Reception Pct) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

#4 Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of just 50% (92 completions/185 attempts) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 61%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.