Middle Tenn State vs Florida International Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

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FIU tight end Josiah Miamen lines up for a play during an NCAA football game between Western Kentucky University and Florida International University on Saturday, Sept. 24, 2022, in Bowling Green, Ky. WKU beat FIU 73-0.
(AP Photo/James Kenney)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 2:41 PM
  • Florida International is a -9 point favorite vs. Middle Tenn State
  • Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (3-8) visit South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium to take on the Florida International Panthers (3-8) on Nov. 30 in Miami, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.

Florida International is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

Bet now on Florida International vs Middle Tenn State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+9 -11052.5 -115+275
Florida International -9 -11052.5 -105-350

Middle Tennessee vs Florida International Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida International will win this game with 72.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tenn State and Florida International, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Middle Tennessee vs Florida International Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida International will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Florida International vs Middle Tenn State and all games with BetMGM


  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • FIU has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • FIU have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Middle Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Middle Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today

  • Holden Willis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nicholas Vattiato has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Nicholas Vattiato has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Omari Kelly has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida International players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Florida International Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Eric Rivers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kejon Owens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Keyone Jenkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Lexington Joseph has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Middle Tenn State is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • Middle Tennessee is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -51.57% ROI
  • Middle Tennessee is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -13.77% ROI
  • Middle Tennessee is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.04% ROI

Florida International Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida International is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Florida International is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -46.75% ROI
  • Florida International is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Florida International is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Middle Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Florida International

Middle Tennessee is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

Middle Tennessee is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Middle Tennessee is 3-14 (.176) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .423

Middle Tennessee is 4-11 (.267) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .467

Florida International: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tennessee

Florida International is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Florida International is 3-10 (.231) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .354

Florida International is 4-13 (.235) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .413

Florida International is 2-12 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .332

Matchup Notes for Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International

Florida International’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 307 attempts this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International has 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 9.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 6.5 RAC to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 2,877 passing yards in 11 games (261.5 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 172.6 passing yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.9 RAC this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Middle Tennessee’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 6.5 RAC to RBs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 2,877 passing yards in 11 games (261.5 YPG) this season — T-31st-best among FBS offenses. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 172.6 passing yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s RBs has averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch this season — T-20th-worst among FBS RBs. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 9.9 RAC this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Middle Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 2,877 passing yards in 11 games (261.5 YPG) this season — T-30th-best among FBS teams. Florida International’s defense has allowed just 172.6 passing yards per game this season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Florida International Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida International’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 307 attempts this season — 32nd-best among FBS offenses. Middle Tennessee’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International has 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS skill players. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International QBs fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Florida International’s RBs has averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS RBs. Middle Tennessee’s defense has allowed 9.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Florida International RBs have no touchdowns on 41 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.3

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS

Middle Tennessee has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Middle Tennessee has no interceptions (48 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.3

Middle Tennessee has allowed 15 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most in FBS

Middle Tennessee has allowed 4.8 touchdowns per interception (24 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) this season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Florida International Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida International has not recorded a sack (62 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Florida International opponents has averaged 46.0 Passing Attempts per TD (322 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.4

Florida International has not recorded a sack (62 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Florida International has not recorded a sack (27 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Florida International did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.