Middle Tennessee State vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Hawaii Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 11:10 AM
  • San Diego State (7-5) are -7 point favorites vs Middle Tenn State (7-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • Watch the Hawai’i Bowl game on ESPN

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-5) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (7-5) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Honolulu for the Hawai’i Bowl.

San Diego State are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Middle Tenn State vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Middle Tenn State vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tenn State+6.5 -11048.5 -110+200
San Diego State -6.5 -11048.5 -110-250

Middle Tenn State vs San Diego State Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 68.0% confidence.

Middle Tenn State vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Middle Tenn State and San Diego State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Middle Tenn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Middle Tenn State has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.65 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Middle Tenn State is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 16.7% ROI
  • Middle Tenn State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Middle Tenn State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Diego State has gone 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.3% ROI).

  • San Diego State is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.25% ROI
  • San Diego State is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • San Diego State is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Middle Tenn State

San Diego State is 6-2 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .505

San Diego State is 11-1 (.846) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .584

San Diego State is 10-2 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .510

San Diego State is 11-3 (.786) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Middle Tenn State Offensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged 21.0 receptions per game (504/24) since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged just 9.8 yards per reception (2,306 yards/235 catches) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged 21.4 receptions per game (235/11) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Middle Tennessee WRs have been targeted 31.5 times per game (755/24) since last season– 3rd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

Middle Tennessee WRs have averaged just 10.2 yards per reception (3,299 yards/322 catches) with 7-10 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.7

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 38 carries (12.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

San Diego State Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (294 yards/17 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.0

San Diego State RBs have rushed for 5 TDs on 294 carries (58.8 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9

San Diego State RBs have averaged 1.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (33 yards / 24 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

San Diego State RBs have averaged 3.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (619 yards / 160 touches) on 1st down this season– tied for 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Middle Tennessee has allowed 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (192 yards / 73 touches) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Middle Tennessee has averaged 1.36 interceptions per game (15/11) this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.82

Middle Tennessee defense has allowed 28 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– fewest in FBS

Middle Tennessee has allowed 3,404 Passing Yards this season– 3rd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Middle Tennessee defense has allowed 28 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– fewest among Non-Power 5 Teams

San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State has allowed 18 rushing TDs on 781 carries (43.4 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.8

San Diego State has tackled opponents for a loss on 163 of 781 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

San Diego State has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 38 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

San Diego State has allowed 31.2 carries per game (781 carries / 25 games) since last season– 3rd lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.5

San Diego State has allowed 111.6 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 153.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.