Minnesota vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:14 PM

min read

Fans cheer before an NCAA college football game between Iowa and North Texas at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa, Sept. 16, 2017. Iowa will attempt to set the all-time women's basketball attendance record when it hosts DePaul in an outdoor exhibition at 69,000-seat Kinnick Stadium on Oct. 15, the school announced Thursday, Aug. 10, 2023.

(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)

Iowa is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
Minnesota vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Minnesota (5-2) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on Iowa (5-2) on Oct. 25 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Minnesota vs. Iowa Over/Under is 39.5 total points.

Bet now on Iowa vs Minnesota & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Minnesota vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Minnesota	+8.5 -105	39.5 -115	275
Iowa	-8.5 -115	39.5 -105	-350

Minnesota vs Iowa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 73.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Minnesota vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Iowa vs Minnesota and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

Minnesota Best Bets Today

Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Minnesota have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Iowa Best Bets Today

Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Iowa have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.64 Units / 19% ROI)
Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.90 Units / 7% ROI)

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.75% ROI).

Minnesota is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 15.22% ROI
Minnesota is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Minnesota is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.84 Units / 24.18% ROI).

Iowa is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.08% ROI
Iowa is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Iowa is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.06% ROI

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26

Iowa has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 6 of their 635 carries (1%) since the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3%

Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3

Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Minnesota is 11-2 (.846) when not losing a fumble since the 2024 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667

Minnesota is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691

Minnesota is 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .642

Minnesota is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .640

Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Iowa