Minnesota vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:30 AM
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The Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-3) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in University Park.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Minnesota vs. Penn State is total points.

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Minnesota vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Minnesota
Penn State

Minnesota vs Penn State Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 56.4% confidence.

Minnesota vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Minnesota and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Minnesota Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Noah Cain has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Tanner Morgan has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sean Clifford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Keyvone Lee has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Parker Washington has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+9.22 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Minnesota has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Minnesota is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Minnesota is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Minnesota is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Penn State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Penn State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Penn State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Penn State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State

    Minnesota is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

    Minnesota is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .596

    Minnesota is 8-2 (.615) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

    Minnesota is 11-4 (.611) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2020 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .459

    Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

    #10 Penn State is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

    #10 Penn State is winless (0-5) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

    #10 Penn State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .484

    #10 Penn State is 8-5 (.615) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

    Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Penn State

    Penn State’s TEs has gained 772 yards on 61 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Penn State’s TEs has gained 273 yards on 17 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Penn State has gained 1,150 yards on 91 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota’s WRs has gained 692 yards on 40 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota has gained 3,115 yards on 221 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Power 5 skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for best among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota’s TEs has gained 240 yards on 18 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — second-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

    Minnesota’s WRs has gained 692 yards on 40 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota has gained 3,115 yards on 221 receptions (14.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Power 5 skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for best among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota’s TEs has gained 240 yards on 18 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — second-best among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota’s WRs has gained 692 yards on 40 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Minnesota’s WRs has gained 692 yards on 40 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends

    Penn State’s TEs has gained 772 yards on 61 receptions (12.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Penn State’s TEs has gained 273 yards on 17 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Penn State has gained 1,150 yards on 91 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Penn State’s TEs has gained 273 yards on 17 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among FBS defenses.

    Penn State has gained 1,150 yards on 91 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.2 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among P5 defenses.

    Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends

    Minnesota has allowed 1.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (36 yards / 22 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 3.7

    Minnesota has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 73 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

    Minnesota has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 73 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 10%

    Minnesota has allowed first downs on 5% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 27%

    Minnesota has allowed just 119.4 receiving yards per game (2,150/18) to WRs since last season– best in FBS; Average: 168.1

    Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends

    #10 Penn State opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (64 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.0

    #10 Penn State opponents has averaged 45.4 Passing Attempts per TD (635 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 19.9

    #10 Penn State has allowed a passer rating of just 85.9 in the Red Zone (64.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 164.3

    #10 Penn State opponents has averaged 65.7 Passing Attempts per TD (197 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.8

    #10 Penn State opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (64 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1


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