Mississippi vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 9:06 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Ole Miss Rebels (8-1) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (6-2) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Baton Rouge.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Mississippi vs. LSU is total points.

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Mississippi vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi
LSU

Mississippi vs LSU Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 54.1% confidence.

Mississippi vs LSU Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Mississippi Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Mississippi players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Evans has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jayden Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.20 Units / 70% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.56 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Mississippi has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    LSU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • LSU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • LSU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • LSU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

    #9 Ole Miss is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

    #9 Ole Miss is 9-1 (.600) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410

    #9 Ole Miss is 8-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

    #9 Ole Miss is 16-5 (.593) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .459

    LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi

    #25 LSU is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

    #25 LSU is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

    #25 LSU is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

    #25 LSU is undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .518

    Matchup Notes for Mississippi vs. LSU

    LSU’s TEs has 18 receptions in 6 games (3.0 per game) this season — fifth-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs has gained 4,225 yards on 329 receptions (just 12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU has gained 1,460 yards on 135 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — second-worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

    Ole Miss has gained 1,466 yards on 98 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — tied for second-best among Power 5 skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

    Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,194 yards on 72 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — third-best among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

    Ole Miss has gained 1,466 yards on 98 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — tied for second-best among SEC skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

    Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

    #9 Ole Miss RBs have rushed for 19 TDs this season– most among FBS Teams

    #9 Ole Miss Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

    Ole Miss has gained 1,466 yards on 98 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — tied for second-best among Power 5 skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

    Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,194 yards on 72 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — third-best among SEC WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

    #9 Ole Miss RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

    LSU’s TEs has 18 receptions in 6 games (3.0 per game) this season — fifth-best among SEC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 20.0 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs has gained 4,225 yards on 329 receptions (just 12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU has gained 1,460 yards on 135 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — second-worst among SEC skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs has gained 1,129 yards on 96 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — tied for second-worst among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among SEC defenses.

    LSU’s WRs has 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game this season — fifth-best among SEC WRs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-best among SEC defenses.

    Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

    #9 Ole Miss has averaged 3.1 sacks per game since last season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.2

    #9 Ole Miss has allowed 5.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,972 yards / 352 touches) this season– tied for 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.6

    #9 Ole Miss has allowed 128.9 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 90.4

    #9 Ole Miss has sacked opponents 59 times since last season– tied for 4th most in FBS

    #9 Ole Miss has averaged 3.1 sacks per game since last season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 2.2

    LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

    LSU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 95 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

    LSU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 22 of 215 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

    LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (19 completions/24 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

    LSU has allowed 15 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

    LSU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 34 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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