Mississippi vs Mississippi St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

• Mississippi is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
• Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
• TV Channel: ABC

Ole Miss (10-1) visit Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on Mississippi State (5-6) on Nov. 28 in Starkville, MS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (100).

The Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 71.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Mississippi St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ole Miss Best Bets Today

• Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 0% ROI)

Mississippi State Best Bets Today

• Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 7% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)

Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.48% ROI).

• Ole Miss is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 30.79% ROI
• Ole Miss is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
• Ole Miss is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi St iss 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).

• Mississippi State is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.58% ROI
• Mississippi State is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
• Mississippi State is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State

Mississippi State was winless (0-9) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Mississippi State was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in the SEC

Mississippi State allowed 48 TDs last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.4

Matchup Notes for Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in the SEC

Mississippi State allowed 48 TDs last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.4

Mississippi State was winless (0-9) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Mississippi State was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State was winless (0-9) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Mississippi State was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in the SEC

Mississippi State allowed 48 TDs last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.4

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State was winless (0-9) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Mississippi State was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Mississippi State was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Mississippi State was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 13.7

Mississippi State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 1.6

Mississippi State allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone last season– most in the SEC

Mississippi State allowed 48 TDs last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.4

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