Mississippi vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Oklahoma head coach Brent Venables watches from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Cincinnati, Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Aaron Doster)
(AP Photo/Aaron Doster)
  • Oklahoma is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi
  • Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

Ole Miss (6-1) visit Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) to take on Oklahoma (6-1) on Oct. 25 in Norman, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Oklahoma is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ole Miss+5.5 -11554.5 -110170
Oklahoma -5.5 -10554.5 -110-210

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Oklahoma, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+2.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+2.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+15.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.10 Units / 86% ROI)

Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.03% ROI).

  • Ole Miss is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 26.09% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Ole Miss is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma iss 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 9.39% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 0-7 when betting the Over for -7.7 Units / -100% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 7-0 when betting the Under for +7 Units / 90.91% ROI

Ole Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.9 yards per reception (224 yards/9 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (6,690 yards/433 catches) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss completed passes for 20+ yards on 79 of their 433 total passing attempts (18%) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Ole Miss

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (28/182) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Matchup Notes for Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (28/182) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.9 yards per reception (224 yards/9 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (6,690 yards/433 catches) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss completed passes for 20+ yards on 79 of their 433 total passing attempts (18%) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.9 yards per reception (224 yards/9 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (6,690 yards/433 catches) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss completed passes for 20+ yards on 79 of their 433 total passing attempts (18%) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (28/182) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss TEs have averaged 24.9 yards per reception (224 yards/9 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss Skill Players have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (6,690 yards/433 catches) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 1,601 yards on 98 receptions (16.3 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss completed passes for 20+ yards on 79 of their 433 total passing attempts (18%) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 13 rushing attempts (39% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (28/182) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 222 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.


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