- Arkansas is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
- Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
Mississippi State (4-4) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on Arkansas (2-6) on Nov. 1 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT.
Arkansas is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 67.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +4.5 -110 | 67.5 -110 | 170 |
| Arkansas | -4.5 -110 | 67.5 -110 | -210 |
Mississippi State vs Arkansas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 62.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi St and Arkansas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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Mississippi State Best Bets Today
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+7.75 Units / 115% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Arkansas Best Bets Today
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi St is 7-1 against the spread this college football season (+5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 1.03% ROI
- Mississippi State is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Mississippi State is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Arkansas is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -25.79% ROI
- Arkansas is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Arkansas is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456
Arkansas is 4-7 (.364) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 40th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Arkansas was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Arkansas is 4-9 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for Mississippi State vs. Arkansas
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456
Arkansas is 4-7 (.364) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 40th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Arkansas was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Arkansas is 4-9 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456
Arkansas is 4-7 (.364) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 40th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Arkansas was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Arkansas is 4-9 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas is 2-11 (.154) when losing at least one fumble since the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456
Arkansas is 4-7 (.364) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 40th-worst in FBS; Average: .474
Arkansas was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Arkansas is 4-9 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC since the 2024 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has gained 1,544 yards on 110 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 12.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
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