- Florida is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Mississippi St
- Mississippi State vs. Florida Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
Mississippi State (4-2) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on Florida (2-4) on Oct. 18 in Gainesville, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT.
Florida is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Mississippi State vs. Florida Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +9.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | 280 |
| Florida | -9.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 | -350 |
Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Florida will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi St and Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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Mississippi State Best Bets Today
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Florida Best Bets Today
- Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- Florida have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Mississippi State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi St is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).
- Mississippi State is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.54% ROI
- Mississippi State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Mississippi State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Florida is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -77.6% ROI
- Florida is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Florida is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
Mississippi State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida
Florida is undefeated (10-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .766
Florida is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .274
Florida is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Florida was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi State
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State WRs have averaged 27.1 yards per reception (271 yards/10 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.6
Mississippi State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Matchup Notes for Mississippi State vs. Florida
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State WRs have averaged 27.1 yards per reception (271 yards/10 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.6
Mississippi State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Florida is undefeated (10-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .766
Florida is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .274
Florida is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Florida was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida is undefeated (10-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .766
Florida is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .274
Florida is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Florida was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State WRs have averaged 27.1 yards per reception (271 yards/10 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.6
Mississippi State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends
Florida is undefeated (10-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .766
Florida is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .274
Florida is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Florida was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
Mississippi State’s WRs has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-best among SEC WRs. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mississippi State WRs have averaged 27.1 yards per reception (271 yards/10 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.6
Mississippi State has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Florida’s defense has allowed 12.4 RAC since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among SEC defenses.
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