Mississippi vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Texas Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2023, 3:27 PM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-5) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (8-5) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Houston.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Mississippi vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is total points.

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Mississippi vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi
Texas Tech

Mississippi vs Texas Tech Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 60.1% confidence.

Mississippi vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Mississippi Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Mississippi players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • SaRodorick Thompson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Myles Price has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Shough has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jerand Bradley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas Tech is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas Tech is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas Tech is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .621

Texas Tech is undefeated (4-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .483

Texas Tech is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi

Ole Miss is 10-4 (.625) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

Ole Miss is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .384

Ole Miss is 12-4 (.600) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .466

Ole Miss is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .378

Matchup Notes for Mississippi vs. Texas Tech

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech WRs have been targeted 96 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Texas Tech WRs have averaged 19.7 receptions per game (217/11) this season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.2

Texas Tech WRs have been targeted 31.5 times per game (347/11) this season– 3rd highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21.3

Texas Tech WRs have been targeted 96 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Texas Tech Skill Players have been targeted 40.8 times per game (449/11) this season– 3rd highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 31.0

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss RBs have averaged 208.8 rushing yards per game (2,297/11) this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.8

Ole Miss QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Ole Miss RBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has no interceptions and 26 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.4

Texas Tech has no interceptions (104 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.5

Texas Tech has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Texas Tech has no interceptions (104 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Texas Tech has allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most in FBS

Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

Ole Miss has allowed 6.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (302 yards / 45 touches) on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.6

Ole Miss has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 3 of 356 attempts (1%) this season– tied for 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of 94% (15 completions/16 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 61%

Ole Miss has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 7 of 796 attempts (1%) since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Ole Miss has allowed 120.5 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 90.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.