Mississippi vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:46 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Ole Miss Rebels (7-0) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in Nashville.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Mississippi vs. Vanderbilt is total points.

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Mississippi vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi
Vanderbilt

Mississippi vs Vanderbilt Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 69.7% confidence.

Mississippi vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 69.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Vanderbilt, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Mississippi Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Mississippi players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Evans has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Mississippi is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Mississippi is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Mississippi is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Vanderbilt is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Vanderbilt is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Vanderbilt is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

#14 Ole Miss is undefeated (9-0) when scoring 22 or more points — 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .477

#14 Ole Miss is 9-2 (.600) when passing for more than 200 yards — 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .382

#14 Ole Miss is 9-2 (.562) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#14 Ole Miss is 15-4 (.625) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2020 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi

Vanderbilt is winless (0-17) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458

Vanderbilt is winless (0-14) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Vanderbilt is winless (0-8) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Vanderbilt is winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Matchup Notes for Mississippi vs. Vanderbilt

Ole Miss’s receiving corps has gained 3,349 yards on 214 receptions (15.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Power 5 WR corps. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Ole Miss’s offense has 41 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS offenses. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 26 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-most among SEC defenses.

Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

#9 Ole Miss TEs have been targeted 10 times in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#9 Ole Miss TEs have been targeted 10 times in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#9 Ole Miss RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss’s receiving corps has gained 3,349 yards on 214 receptions (15.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Power 5 WR corps. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

#9 Ole Miss TEs have 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt WRs have averaged 36.3 yards per reception (109 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.8

Vanderbilt Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

Vanderbilt Skill Players have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Vanderbilt RBs have averaged just 3.1 Yards per Carry (218 yards/71 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Vanderbilt Skill Players have averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (213 yards/29 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.1

Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

#9 Ole Miss has allowed one rushing TD on 144 carries this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24.8

#9 Ole Miss has allowed one rushing TD on 144 carries this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 28.3

#9 Ole Miss has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,121 yards / 229 touches) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.3

#9 Ole Miss has averaged 3.3 sacks per game since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.3

#9 Ole Miss has averaged 3.3 sacks per game since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 2.2

Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 6 attempts (50%) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 9%

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 6 attempts (50%) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8%

Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (13/480) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Vanderbilt has averaged a sack every 36.9 pass attempts (480 Pass Attempts/13 Sacks) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.0

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 5 of 87 attempts (6%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.