Missouri vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

General view of Jordan-Hare Stadium during the first half of an NCAA football game between Georgia and Auburn on Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Stew Milne)
(AP Photo/Stew Milne)
  • Missouri is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Auburn
  • Missouri vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • TV Channel: SECN

Missouri (5-1) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on Auburn (3-3) on Oct. 18 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.

Missouri is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Missouri vs. Auburn Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri-1.5 -11543.5 -105-125
Auburn +1.5 -10543.5 -115105

Missouri vs Auburn Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 57.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.59 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 12.21% ROI).

  • Missouri is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 4.31% ROI
  • Missouri is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Missouri is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Auburn is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -2.56% ROI
  • Auburn is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • Auburn is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Auburn is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn was 1-5 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 31 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State WRs were targeted 20 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Missouri vs. Auburn

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 31 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State WRs were targeted 20 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Auburn is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn was 1-5 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn was 1-5 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 31 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State WRs were targeted 20 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-5) when in a one score game last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Auburn was winless (0-6) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Auburn was 1-5 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri State Skill Players averaged just -2.0 yards per reception (-4 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Missouri State TEs averaged 27.7 yards per reception (83 yards/3 catches) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

Missouri State Skill Players were targeted 31 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams

Missouri State RBs averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (70 yards / 22 touches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Missouri State WRs were targeted 20 times last season– fewest among FBS Teams


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