Missouri vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

Kansas head coach Lance Leipold during the first half of the Guaranteed Rate Bowl NCAA college football game against UNLV. Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2023, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
(AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • Missouri Tigers is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Kansas Jayhawks
  • Missouri vs. Kansas Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

Missouri (1-0) visit David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium to take on Kansas (1-0) on Sep. 11 in Lawrence, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm.

The Missouri Tigers are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-108).

The Missouri vs. Kansas Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Kansas Jayhawks vs Missouri Tigers & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Missouri vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri-5.5 -10850.5 -108-220
Kansas +5.5 -11050.5 -110+180

Missouri vs Kansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 56.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Missouri Tigers and the Kansas Jayhawks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


Bet now on Kansas Jayhawks vs Missouri Tigers and all games with BetMGM


  • Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Missouri Tigers is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Missouri is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Missouri is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Missouri is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas Jayhawks is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Kansas is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Kansas is 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Kansas is 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Missouri: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Missouri was undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Missouri was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Missouri was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Missouri was 8-3 (.727) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Missouri

Kansas was 2-7 (.222) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kansas was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Kansas was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Kansas was 3-6 (.333) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Matchup Notes for Missouri vs. Kansas

Kansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 344 attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Missouri’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense allowed 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Missouri had just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-3rd-worst among SEC skill players. Kansas’s defense allowed 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Missouri’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — worst among SEC WRs. Kansas’s defense allowed 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends

Missouri TEs averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (186 yards/24 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 11.9

Missouri RBs averaged 203.8 rushing yards per game (2,649/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 123.3

Missouri WRs averaged a touchdown every 23.0 receptions (161 Rec/7 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Missouri WRs averaged a touchdown every 23.0 receptions (161 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4

Missouri’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense allowed 1.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Kansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 344 attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Missouri’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas gained 2,667 yards on 211 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among Big 12 skill players. Missouri’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-2nd-best among SEC defenses.

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends

Missouri sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone last season– most in the SEC

Missouri allowed a Completion Pct of just 49% (23 completions/47 attempts) in close and late situations last season– best in the SEC; Average: 61%

Missouri tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 34 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Missouri allowed opponents to catch just 23 of 46 passes (50% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– best in the SEC; Average: 62%

Missouri tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 31 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (9 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 62%

Kansas’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 26% of PATs in the 2023 season– highest in FBS; Average: 7%

Kansas had no interceptions and 10 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 6.4

Kansas allowed first downs on 89% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 52%

Kansas intercepted 4 of 354 attempts (88.5 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 35.4


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