N. Texas vs UAB Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • UAB (4-5) are -6 point favorites vs N. Texas (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • Watch the game on STADIUM

The North Texas Mean Green (6-5) visit Protective Stadium to take on the UAB Blazers (5-6) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Birmingham.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for N.Texas vs. UAB is total points.

Bet now on UAB vs N.Texas & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

N.Texas vs. UAB Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
N.Texas
UAB

N.Texas vs UAB Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UAB will win this game with 61.2% confidence.

N.Texas vs UAB Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both N.Texas and UAB, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.72 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UAB have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)

N.Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

N.Texas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • N. Texas is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 13.36% ROI
  • N. Texas is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • N. Texas is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UAB is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -20.33% ROI
  • UAB is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • UAB is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

N.Texas: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

North Texas is 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .578

North Texas is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 12th-best in FBS; Average: .562

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. N.Texas

UAB is 9-1 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass — 13th-best in FBS; Average: .620

UAB is winless (0-3) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Matchup Notes for N.Texas vs. UAB

North Texas has gained 2,245 yards on 135 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

North Texas’s WRs has gained 1,538 yards on 80 receptions (19.2 YPR) this season — second-best among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

N.Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has gained 2,245 yards on 135 receptions (16.6 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

North Texas’s WRs has gained 1,538 yards on 80 receptions (19.2 YPR) this season — second-best among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

North Texas WRs have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (1,083 yards/53 catches) in the 1st half this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

North Texas RBs have averaged 213.5 rushing yards per game (1,708/8) this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.5

North Texas RBs have averaged 206.8 rushing yards per game (4,343/21) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 132.1

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB RBs have averaged 218.2 rushing yards per game (1,964/9) this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.5

UAB RBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have rushed for 16 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

UAB RBs have averaged 6.1 Yards per Carry (4,256 yards/693 carries) since last season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

UAB RBs have averaged 7.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,760 yards / 246 touches) on 2nd down since last season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 30 of 307 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

North Texas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 60 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

North Texas has allowed 250.8 receiving yards per game (2,006/8) to WRs this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 166.5

North Texas has allowed 258.8 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 172.0

North Texas has allowed first downs on 47% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 28%

UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 45 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 37 of 333 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– tied for 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 45 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

UAB has sacked opposing QBs just once on 63 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.0

UAB has not recorded a sack (22 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17.2


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on UAB vs N.Texas and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.