Navy vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 10, 2022, 11:49 AM
  • Navy (4-7) are -2.5 point favorites vs Army (5-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 32.5 points
  • Watch the Army-Navy game on CBS

The Navy Midshipmen (4-8) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Army Black Knights (6-6) on Dec. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Philadelphia.

When was the first Army-Navy Game?

Army and Navy first played on November 29, 1890 and have played annually since 1930.

Who leads the Army vs Navy series?

Navy leads the series against Army with a 62-53-7 record.

Navy vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 15

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Navy
Army

are betting favorites in Week 15 for the Army-Navy Game, with the spread sitting at ().

The Navy vs. Army Over/Under is total points.

Navy vs Army Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 51.3% confidence.

Navy vs Army Spread Prediction for Week 15

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Navy will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and Army, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Navy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+11.15 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Navy have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Navy have covered the 1H Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Navy is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 13.16% ROI
  • Navy is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Navy is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Army is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -13.27% ROI
  • Army is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Army is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Navy is 2-9 (.182) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Navy is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .444

Navy is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .439

Navy is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .350

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

Army is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .350

Army is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

Matchup Notes for Navy vs. Army

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.5% of 92 attempts this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.6% of attempts this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.5% of 92 attempts this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 15.6% of attempts this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s WRs have just 26.5 receiving yards per game this season — worst among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 230.2 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Navy’s offense has thrown for 853 passing yards in 10 games (just 85.3 YPG) this season — third-worst among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 182.2 passing yards per game this season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Navy’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) this season — tied for worst among FBS TEs. Army’s defense has allowed just 1.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — second-best among FBS defenses.

Navy’s QBs has thrown for 881 passing yards in 10 games (just 88.1 YPG) this season — third-worst among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 182.2 passing yards per game this season — tied for third-best among NonP5 defenses.

Navy Offensive Stats & Trends

Navy Skill Players have averaged just 4.4 receptions per game (44/10) this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Navy QBs have averaged 77.4 Passing Yards per game (1,702/22) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 245.4

Navy Skill Players have been targeted 8.0 times per game (177/22) since last season– 3rd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.9

Navy QBs have averaged 88.1 Passing Yards per game (881/10) this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 243.7

Navy Skill Players have averaged 17.4 yards per reception (765 yards/44 catches) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged just 3.5 receptions per game (38/11) this season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.1 receptions per game (98/24) since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Army Skill Players have been targeted 7.8 times per game (188/24) since last season– 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.9

Army Skill Players have averaged 23.8 yards per reception (285 yards/12 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Army WRs have been targeted 4.2 times per game (101/24) since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends

Navy has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 48 carries (9.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Navy has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 48 carries (9.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 279 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Navy has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 25 of 607 attempts (4%) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 18 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (46 completions/62 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%

Army has allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (46 completions/62 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Army has allowed first downs on 73% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 52%

Army’s opponents has attempted just 24.6 passes per game this season– 3rd lowest in FBS; Average: 31.5

Army has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 81 of 416 carries (20%) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 13%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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