- East Carolina is a -2 point favorite vs. Navy
- Navy vs. East Carolina Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Navy Midshipmen (7-3) visit Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on the East Carolina Pirates (7-4) on Nov. 29 in Greenville, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
East Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Navy vs. East Carolina Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Navy vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Navy | +2 -110 | 55.5 -105 | +105 |
East Carolina | -2 -110 | 55.5 -115 | -125 |
Navy vs East Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 52.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and East Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs East Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 72.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Navy have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
East Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- East Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- East Carolina have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- East Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.10 Units / 19% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Navy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Navy Player Prop Bets Today
- Blake Horvath has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alex Tecza has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for East Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best East Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Chase Sowell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Rahjai Harris has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.75 Units / 16.13% ROI).
- Navy is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.3% ROI
- Navy is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Navy is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
East Carolina is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.65 Units / 21.99% ROI).
- East Carolina is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.32% ROI
- East Carolina is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.12% ROI
- East Carolina is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina
Navy is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .546
Navy is 6-1 (.857) when not losing a fumble this season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .534
Navy is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
Navy is 2-5 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
East Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
East Carolina is 5-10 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .442
East Carolina is 3-9 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
East Carolina is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .470
East Carolina is 2-7 (.222) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .354
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. East Carolina
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 360 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina’s RBs have just 12.1 receiving yards per game this season — 14th-worst among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 15.2 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s TEs has 8 receptions in 9 games (just 0.9 per game) this season — 5th-worst among FBS TEs. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 1,245 passing yards in 10 games (just 124.5 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 242.2 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s QBs has thrown for 1,232 passing yards in 10 games (just 123.2 YPG) this season — 3rd-worst among FBS teams. East Carolina’s defense has allowed 242.2 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy WRs have averaged just 1.0 receptions per game (10/10) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Navy WRs have averaged just 1.9 receptions per game (42/22) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.6
Navy Skill Players have averaged just 6.5 receptions per game (144/22) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Navy WRs have averaged just 4.3 yards per reception (13 yards/3 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6
Navy WRs have been targeted 33 times this season– fewest among FBS Teams
East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 360 attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts this season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
East Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 19 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
East Carolina WRs have no touchdowns on 41 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.7
East Carolina Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 29.7 receptions (208 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5
East Carolina QBs had 5 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down last week– T-most among FBS Teams
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 67 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of 65% (54 completions/83 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 114 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 106 of 797 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Navy has allowed 8.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (251 yards / 31 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.1
East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 11 of 58 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 182 of 891 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
East Carolina tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 436 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
East Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 133 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
East Carolina has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (20/380) this season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
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