- Memphis is a -14 point favorite vs. Navy
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Navy Midshipmen visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers on Sep. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Memphis.
– is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at ().
The Navy vs. Memphis Over/Under is total points.
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Navy vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Navy | |||
| Memphis |
Navy vs Memphis Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 84.5% confidence.
Navy vs Memphis Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.50 Units / 105% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Navy is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Navy is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
- Navy is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Memphis is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.12% ROI
- Memphis is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Memphis is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
Navy is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .440
Navy is winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .338
Navy was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352
Navy is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .342
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. Memphis
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 520 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts since the 2022 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 520 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts since the 2022 season — sixth-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis’s WRs have 201.1 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 26th-best among FBS WRs. Navy’s defense has allowed 204.2 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2022 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy has gained 189 yards on 11 receptions (17.2 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 5.9 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s WRs has gained 653 yards on 37 receptions (17.6 YPR) since the 2022 season — third-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s WRs has gained 653 yards on 37 receptions (17.6 YPR) since the 2022 season — third-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — second-best among NonP5 defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy Skill Players have averaged just 4.2 receptions per game (109/26) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1
Navy Skill Players have been targeted 8.1 times per game (210/26) since the 2021 season– 2nd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.9
Navy WRs have averaged just 2.3 receptions per game (61/26) since the 2021 season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
Navy Skill Players averaged 17.4 yards per reception (765 yards/44 catches) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
Navy Skill Players had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 520 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts since the 2022 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.
Memphis RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among FBS Teams
Memphis’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 520 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS offenses. Navy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts since the 2022 season — sixth-best among FBS defenses.
Memphis RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy allowed 5 rushing TDs on 48 carries (9.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.8
Navy tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 279 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Navy allowed 5 rushing TDs on 48 carries (9.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8
Navy has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 417 carries (52.1 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 23.9
Navy tackled opponents for a loss on 67 of 279 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis did not record a sack (41 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.4
Memphis allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for most in FBS
Memphis allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Memphis averaged a sack every 24.9 pass attempts (374 Pass Attempts/15 Sacks) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.2
Memphis’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 16% of PATs in the 2022 season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%
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