Navy vs North Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

BetMGM Betting Oct 28, 2025, 9:27 PM

min read

North Texas is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Navy
Navy vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN2

Navy (7-0) visit DATCU Stadium to take on North Texas (7-1) on Nov. 1 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Navy vs. North Texas Over/Under is 65.5 total points.

Bet now on North Texas vs Navy & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Navy vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Navy	+6.5 -110	65.5 -110	185
North Texas	-6.5 -110	65.5 -110	-225

Navy vs North Texas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 66.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Navy vs North Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 53.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on North Texas vs Navy and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

Navy Best Bets Today

Navy has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Navy have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

North Texas Best Bets Today

North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)
North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 55% ROI)
North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.29 Units / 42% ROI)
North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)

Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Navy is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

Navy is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 15.87% ROI
Navy is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
Navy is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas iss 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).

North Texas is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 7.87% ROI
North Texas is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
North Texas is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Navy: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

North Texas has forced 12 fumbles this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

North Texas has forced 12 fumbles this season– 4th-most in FBS

North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 141.6

North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Navy

Navy allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (25 completions/68 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (25 completions/68 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

Navy allowed opponents to catch just 16 of 42 passes (38% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Navy has allowed 10 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– most in FBS

Matchup Notes for Navy vs. North Texas