Navy vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 14, 2022, 11:14 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Navy Midshipmen (2-4) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the SMU Mustangs (3-3) on Oct. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Dallas.

are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Navy vs. SMU is total points.

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Navy vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Navy
SMU

Navy vs SMU Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 69.8% confidence.

Navy vs SMU Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 50.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and SMU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best SMU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for SMU players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tre Siggers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Navy have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Navy has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 95% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Navy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Navy is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Navy is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Navy is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    SMU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • SMU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • SMU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • SMU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Navy Offensive Stats & Trends

    Navy Skill Players have no touchdowns on 18 receptions this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

    Navy have been sacked on 24% of pass attempts (13/53) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

    Navy Skill Players have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (115 yards/5 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

    Navy RBs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Navy Skill Players have been targeted 20 times in the 1st quarter since last season– 2nd fewest among FBS Teams

    SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

    SMU RBs have averaged 3.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (145 yards / 48 touches) on 3rd down since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

    SMU WRs have averaged 20.6 yards per reception (371 yards/18 catches) on 1st down this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5

    SMU Skill Players have averaged 15.9 receptions per game (239/15) in the 1st half since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.3

    SMU QBs have 19 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

    SMU WRs have averaged 152.8 receiving yards per game (2,292/15) in the 1st half since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 93.9

    Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends

    Navy has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (11/75) this season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

    Navy has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 5 of 75 attempts (7%) this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

    Navy has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 18 of 380 attempts (5%) since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

    Navy has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 5 of 75 attempts (7%) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

    Navy has no interceptions (75 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 35.4

    SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

    SMU opponents has averaged 44.5 Passing Attempts per TD (89 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17.8

    SMU has allowed 92.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 178.1

    SMU has allowed 92.0 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 166.7

    SMU has allowed first downs on 18% of rush attempts since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 23%

    SMU has allowed first downs on 14% of rush attempts in close and late situations since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 22%


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.