- Navy is a -3 point favorite vs. South Florida
- Navy vs. South Florida Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Navy Midshipmen (6-2) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls (4-4) on Nov. 9 in Tampa, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Navy is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Navy vs. South Florida Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
Bet now on South Florida vs Navy & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Navy vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Navy | -3 -110 | 57.5 -110 | -160 |
South Florida | +3 -110 | 57.5 -110 | +130 |
Navy vs South Florida Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Navy will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Navy and South Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Navy vs South Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 69.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on South Florida vs Navy and all games with BetMGM
Navy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Navy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Navy have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Navy have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Navy has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 4% ROI)
South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Navy players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Navy Player Prop Bets Today
- Blake Horvath has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Alex Tecza has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Sean Atkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Navy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Navy is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 20.69% ROI).
- Navy is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.68% ROI
- Navy is 7-1 when betting the Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
- Navy is 1-7 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- South Florida is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -6.39% ROI
- South Florida is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI
- South Florida is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI
Navy: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Navy is 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .517
Navy is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .486
Navy is 9-5 (.600) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .463
Navy is 9-4 (.692) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .597
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Navy
South Florida is 4-2 (.667) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
South Florida is 8-2 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553
South Florida is 4-1 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .560
South Florida is 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .544
Matchup Notes for Navy vs. South Florida
South Florida’s RBs have 34.6 receiving yards per game this season — T-26th-best among FBS RBs. Navy’s defense has allowed just 15.4 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Navy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 21.6% of 116 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy has averaged 15.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 13.4 RAC since the 2023 season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy’s QBs has thrown for 1,161 passing yards in 8 games (just 145.1 YPG) this season — 8th-worst among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 293.1 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
Navy Offensive Stats & Trends
Navy WRs have averaged just 2.0 receptions per game (40/20) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.7
Navy WRs have averaged just 1.0 receptions per game (8/8) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Navy have completed passes for 20+ yards on 25 of their 116 total passing attempts (22%) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Navy Skill Players have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (1,033 yards/57 catches) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Navy RBs have 22 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida WRs have fumbled 7 times this season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Florida Skill Players have no touchdowns on 18 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
South Florida RBs averaged 11.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (248 yards / 22 touches) on 1st down last week– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
South Florida WRs have averaged a touchdown every 27.0 receptions (108 Rec/4 TDs) this season– 6th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
South Florida TEs have averaged just 1.5 yards per reception (3 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Navy Midshipmen Defensive Stats & Trends
Navy opponents has averaged 9.3 Passing Attempts per TD (28 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Navy opponents has averaged 9.3 Passing Attempts per TD (28 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Navy has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 54%
Navy has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 18 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most in FBS
South Florida sacked opponents 7 times last week– T-2nd-most in FBS
South Florida sacked opponents 7 times last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (15 completions/38 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 38 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) last week– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Bet now on South Florida vs Navy and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!