- Clemson is a -20.5 point favorite vs. NC State
- North Carolina State vs. Clemson Total(Over/Under): 47 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (2-1) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Clemson Tigers (1-1) on Sep. 21 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).
The North Carolina State vs. Clemson Over/Under is 47 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +20.5 -110 | 47 -110 | +725 |
| Clemson | -20.5 -110 | 47 -110 | -1200 |
North Carolina State vs Clemson Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 88.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and Clemson, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Carolina State vs Clemson Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Clemson will cover the spread with 85.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Clemson Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Clemson has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Clemson have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Clemson players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Clemson Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cade Klubnik has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cade Klubnik has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jake Briningstool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Phil Mafah has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Cade Klubnik has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- North Carolina State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- North Carolina State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Clemson is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Clemson is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Clemson is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Clemson is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson
North Carolina State is 8-1 (.727) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .526
North Carolina State is 4-1 (.571) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .480
North Carolina State is undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .589
North Carolina State is 8-1 (.667) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– 10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .494
Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
Clemson is 7-2 (.583) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .391
Clemson is 7-1 (.778) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Clemson is 7-2 (.583) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
Clemson is 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .594
Matchup Notes for North Carolina State vs. Clemson
Clemson’s QBs has thrown for 602 passing yards in 2 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 244.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Clemson’s TEs has 77 receptions in 15 games (5.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Clemson’s offense has thrown for 602 passing yards in 2 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 244.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 153 yards on 11 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 15 games (just 2.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 15 games (just 2.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 153 yards on 11 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 15 games (just 2.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has 30 receptions in 15 games (just 2.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 2,513 yards on 221 receptions (just 11.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s offense has thrown for 3,151 passing yards in 16 games (just 196.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Clemson’s defense has allowed just 183.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends
Clemson RBs have averaged 14.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (102 yards / 7 touches) on 3rd down this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.8
Clemson’s QBs has thrown for 602 passing yards in 2 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS teams. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 244.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Clemson’s TEs has 77 receptions in 15 games (5.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.
Clemson’s offense has thrown for 602 passing yards in 2 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 244.3 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.
Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (1,060 yards/117 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 11 attempts (27%) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
North Carolina State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 3 of 11 attempts (27%) on 3rd and long this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 9%
North Carolina State has averaged 1.33 interceptions per game (36/27) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.85
North Carolina State has 36 interceptions since the 2022 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 91% (10 completions/11 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
Clemson has allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (317 yards / 34 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.3
Clemson has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 14 of 54 carries (26%) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%
Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on 95 of 450 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since the 2023 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Clemson has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (2/76) this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (118 completions/228 attempts) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%
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