NC State vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman looks at the scoreboard during the first half of the team's NCAA college football game against Stanford in South Bend, Ind., Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • Notre Dame is a -22.5 point favorite vs. NC State
  • North Carolina State vs. Notre Dame Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: PEAC

North Carolina State (4-2) visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on Notre Dame (3-2) on Oct. 11 in South Bend, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+22.5 -11060.5 -1101000
Notre Dame -22.5 -11060.5 -110-2000

North Carolina State vs Notre Dame Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and Notre Dame, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

North Carolina State vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.92 Units / 51% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.27 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)

North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • North Carolina State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -10.79% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • North Carolina State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame iss 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • Notre Dame is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -2.03% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.7% of 137 attempts this season — T-3rd-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame has gained 1,415 yards on 95 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame QBs rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame’s RBs has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch this season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Matchup Notes for North Carolina State vs. Notre Dame

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.7% of 137 attempts this season — T-3rd-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame has gained 1,415 yards on 95 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame QBs rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame’s RBs has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch this season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.7% of 137 attempts this season — T-3rd-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame has gained 1,415 yards on 95 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame QBs rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame’s RBs has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch this season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends

Notre Dame’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 19.7% of 137 attempts this season — T-3rd-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.9% of attempts this season — 3rd-best among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame has gained 1,415 yards on 95 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — 5th-best among Power 5 skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame QBs rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame’s RBs has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch this season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

North Carolina State was winless (0-5) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .460

North Carolina State was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442

North Carolina State is 4-7 (.364) when not forcing and recovering a fumble since the 2024 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .485


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