Nebraska vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:07 AM

Iowa (7-4) are -10.5 point favorites vs Nebraska (3-8)
Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
Watch the game on BTN

The Nebraska Cornhuskers (4-8) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (7-5) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Iowa City.

– are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nebraska vs. Iowa Over/Under is total points.

Bet now on Iowa vs Nebraska & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Nebraska vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Nebraska
Iowa

Nebraska vs Iowa Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 67.1% confidence.

Nebraska vs Iowa Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Nebraska Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nebraska players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Casey Thompson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Marcus Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Trey Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Casey Thompson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Anthony Grant has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 71% ROI)

Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)

Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Arland Bruce IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)

Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+3.20 Units / 80% ROI)

Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 72% ROI)

Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)

Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+4.90 Units / 6% ROI)

Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Nebraska is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.4 Units / -82.28% ROI
Nebraska is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Nebraska is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Iowa is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 15.97% ROI
Iowa is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
Iowa is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Nebraska is 1-12 (.077) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Nebraska is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .298

Nebraska is 1-13 (.071) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

Nebraska is winless (0-13) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Iowa is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .540

Iowa is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .631

Iowa is undefeated (9-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521

Iowa is 13-4 (.722) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .495

Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Iowa

Iowa’s TEs has 66 receptions in 10 games (6.6 per game) this season — third-best among FBS TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 19.9 receptions per game this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa have just 156.7 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among Power 5 skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 223.9 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa has 5 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fewest among Power 5 skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 15 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has gained 5,214 yards on 375 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska’s QBs has 19 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among FBS teams. Iowa’s defense has allowed 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — third-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska WRs have 16 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged 17.1 yards per reception (137 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska Skill Players have 19 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (32 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (32 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.7 receptions (17 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Iowa RBs have rushed for 8 TDs on 95 carries (11.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Iowa WRs have no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has no interceptions and 18 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.4

Nebraska has no interceptions (66 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.3

Nebraska has no interceptions (66 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.4

Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.1

Nebraska has tackled opponents for a loss on just 10 of 117 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 36 carries (12 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7

Iowa has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 374 carries (93.5 Carries Per TD) — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.3

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 36 carries (12 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Iowa has 36 interceptions since the 2021 season– most in FBS

Iowa has allowed just 9.7 yards per completion (1,685 yards/174 completions) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

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