Nebraska vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

Iowa linebacker Jay Higgins (34) gets set for a play during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Michigan State, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 26-16. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Iowa is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Nebraska
  • Nebraska vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-5) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4) on Nov. 29 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Nebraska vs. Iowa Over/Under is 39.5 total points.

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Nebraska vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nebraska+5.5 -11039.5 -110+170
Iowa -5.5 -11039.5 -110-210

Nebraska vs Iowa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Nebraska vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nebraska players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nebraska Player Prop Bets Today

  • Emmett Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Fidone II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rahmir Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dylan Raiola has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Dylan Raiola has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Reece Vander Zee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Cade McNamara has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaleb Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Cade McNamara has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -7.79% ROI
  • Nebraska is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Nebraska is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.35 Units / 2.88% ROI).

  • Iowa is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -3.2% ROI
  • Iowa is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.68% ROI
  • Iowa is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.75 Units / -47.72% ROI

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Nebraska is winless (0-6) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .399

Nebraska is 2-7 (.222) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .525

Nebraska is 4-7 (.364) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Nebraska is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Iowa is winless (0-5) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .283

Iowa is undefeated (11-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .782

Iowa is undefeated (11-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .751

Iowa is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .607

Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Iowa

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa has 305 receptions in 25 games (just 12.2 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has 138 receptions in 25 games (just 5.5 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has gained 2,515 yards on 240 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has gained 2,515 yards on 240 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska’s offense has thrown for 4,154 passing yards in 23 games (just 180.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 182.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has gained 2,515 yards on 240 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has gained 2,515 yards on 240 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska’s offense has thrown for 4,154 passing yards in 23 games (just 180.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 182.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska TEs have no touchdowns on 37 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7

Nebraska has gained 2,515 yards on 240 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa TEs have averaged 32.0 yards per reception (64 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.7

Iowa WRs have averaged just 5.5 receptions per game (138/25) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.9

Iowa Skill Players have been targeted 30 times in the 4th quarter this season– fewest among Big Ten Teams

Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa has 305 receptions in 25 games (just 12.2 per game) since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten skill players. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 19.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.8

Nebraska has no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 12.2

Nebraska has allowed 22 TD passes this season– most in the Big Ten

Nebraska did not record a sack (30 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Nebraska has no interceptions and 21 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 44 carries (22 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 44 carries (22 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 828 carries (92 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.7

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 828 carries (92 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 28.8

Iowa has allowed 9 rushing TDs on 99 carries (11 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 4.6


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.