Nebraska vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Maryland head coach Mike Locksley looks on during pre-game warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
  • Nebraska is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Maryland
  • Nebraska vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Nebraska (4-1) visit SECU Stadium to take on Maryland (4-1) on Oct. 11 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Nebraska vs. Maryland Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Nebraska vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nebraska-6.5 -11547.5 -105-250
Maryland +6.5 -10547.5 -115200

Nebraska vs Maryland Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 66.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Nebraska vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 11.25% ROI
  • Nebraska is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Nebraska is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland iss 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Maryland is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 8.02% ROI
  • Maryland is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • Maryland is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 17 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

Maryland tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 30 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 184 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.8

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Nebraska’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 176 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.8% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.3 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has 419 receptions in 18 games (23.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Maryland

Nebraska’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 176 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.8% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.3 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has 419 receptions in 18 games (23.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 17 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

Maryland tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 30 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 184 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.8

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 17 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

Maryland tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 30 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 184 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.8

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 176 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.8% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.3 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has 419 receptions in 18 games (23.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed one rushing TD on 17 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 4.7

Maryland tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 30 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 8%.

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 17 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

Maryland has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 184 carries (92 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.8

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 176 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.8% of attempts this season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has averaged just 11.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS WRs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 11.3 RAC since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has 419 receptions in 18 games (23.3 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.


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