Nebraska vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Minnesota TCF Bank Stadium
(Photo by Gian Lorenzo Ferretti/Shutterstock)
  • Nebraska is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Minnesota
  • Nebraska vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

Nebraska (5-1) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota (4-2) on Oct. 17 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Nebraska vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 47.5 total points.

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Nebraska vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nebraska-7.5 -11047.5 -110-300
Minnesota +7.5 -11047.5 -110240

Nebraska vs Minnesota Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Nebraska vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 18.1% ROI
  • Nebraska is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Nebraska is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota iss 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • Minnesota is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 2.98% ROI
  • Minnesota is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Minnesota is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Minnesota allowed no passing TDs (42 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.0

Minnesota allowed first downs on 78% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49%

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Nebraska opponents has averaged 78.0 Passing Attempts per TD (156 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Nebraska has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 156 attempts (3%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%

Nebraska has allowed 2 touchdowns on 87 completions (43.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 13.6

Nebraska has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.2

Nebraska has allowed opponents to catch just 4 of 13 passes (31% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Minnesota

Nebraska opponents has averaged 78.0 Passing Attempts per TD (156 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Nebraska has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 156 attempts (3%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%

Nebraska has allowed 2 touchdowns on 87 completions (43.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 13.6

Nebraska has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.2

Nebraska has allowed opponents to catch just 4 of 13 passes (31% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Minnesota allowed no passing TDs (42 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.0

Minnesota allowed first downs on 78% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49%

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota allowed no passing TDs (42 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.0

Minnesota allowed first downs on 78% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49%

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska opponents has averaged 78.0 Passing Attempts per TD (156 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Nebraska has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 156 attempts (3%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%

Nebraska has allowed 2 touchdowns on 87 completions (43.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 13.6

Nebraska has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.2

Nebraska has allowed opponents to catch just 4 of 13 passes (31% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota allowed no passing TDs (42 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 23.0

Minnesota allowed first downs on 78% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49%

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 70 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska opponents has averaged 78.0 Passing Attempts per TD (156 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Nebraska has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 5 of 156 attempts (3%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%

Nebraska has allowed 2 touchdowns on 87 completions (43.5 Completions Per TD) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 13.6

Nebraska has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.2

Nebraska has allowed opponents to catch just 4 of 13 passes (31% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%


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