Nebraska vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:50 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
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The Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-4) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (5-2) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in West Lafayette.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Nebraska vs. Purdue is total points.

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Nebraska vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Nebraska
Purdue

Nebraska vs Purdue Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 68.0% confidence.

Nebraska vs Purdue Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nebraska will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Nebraska and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Nebraska Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nebraska players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Casey Thompson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Casey Thompson has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)

King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)

Aidan O’Connell has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 43% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+13.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.38 Units / 37% ROI)

Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Nebraska is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Nebraska is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Nebraska is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Purdue is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Purdue is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Purdue is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue

Nebraska is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Nebraska is 3-14 (.167) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

Nebraska is 1-6 (.143) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .427

Nebraska is 1-9 (.091) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .355

Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Purdue is 8-3 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

Purdue is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .618

Purdue is undefeated (3-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

Purdue is winless (0-4) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Matchup Notes for Nebraska vs. Purdue

Purdue’s TEs has gained 1,040 yards on 102 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has 102 receptions in 18 games (5.7 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among P5 defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has 102 receptions in 18 games (5.7 per game) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among P5 TEs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 22.1 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska’s TEs has gained 957 yards on 70 receptions (13.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten TEs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska has gained 4,374 yards on 315 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska’s TEs has 0.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-best among Big Ten TEs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska Skill Players have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Nebraska QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 6,507 passing yards in 18 games (361.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 241.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s WRs has gained 4,744 yards on 385 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has no interceptions (54 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.5

Nebraska has allowed just 10.6 yards per completion (3,850 yards/362 completions) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 12.7

Nebraska has no interceptions (54 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 43.5

Nebraska has not allowed a pass completion for 40+ yards (167 attempts) this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 2%

Nebraska has allowed 204.8 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 128.6

Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends

Purdue has allowed a Completion Pct of just 18% (3 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Purdue has allowed a Completion Pct of just 18% (3 completions/17 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Purdue has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 17 passes (18% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Purdue has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 17 passes (18% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Purdue has allowed first downs on 15% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 27%

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