- Air Force (6-3) are -21.5 point favorites vs New Mexico (2-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The New Mexico Lobos (2-9) visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons (8-3) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in U.S. Air Force Academy.
– are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().
The Over/Under for New Mexico vs. Air Force is total points.
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New Mexico vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | |||
| Air Force |
New Mexico vs Air Force Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 77.4% confidence.
New Mexico vs Air Force Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+7.45 Units / 103% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.35 Units / 86% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.69 Units / 28% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -65.35% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Air Force is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -17.9% ROI
- Air Force is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.08% ROI
- Air Force is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.65 Units / 6.6% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
New Mexico is winless (0-7) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .399
New Mexico is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .387
New Mexico is 1-12 (.077) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .423
New Mexico is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Air Force is 9-2 (.750) when not losing a fumble — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .507
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Air Force
Air Force has gained 726 yards on 32 receptions (22.7 YPR) this season — second-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.
Air Force’s WRs has gained 668 yards on 26 receptions (25.7 YPR) this season — best among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.
Air Force’s WRs have just 74.2 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 161.1 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s QBs has thrown for 2,686 passing yards in 20 games (just 134.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 3.7 yards per reception (77 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
New Mexico RBs have averaged just 2.6 Yards per Carry (87 yards/34 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 31.7 receptions (95 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 3.7 receptions per game (81/22) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1
Air Force Skill Players have been targeted 7.5 times per game (166/22) since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.9
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (1,893 yards/81 catches) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Air Force WRs have averaged 23.1 yards per reception (231 yards/10 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 26.4 yards per reception (369 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 63 of 739 carries (9%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%
New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 19 of 275 carries (7%) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 13%
New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 63 of 739 carries (9%) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 13%
New Mexico has allowed a passer rating of just 114.9 (227.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 135.4
New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 42 carries (7%) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 17%
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed 30.6 carries per game (673 carries / 22 games) since last season– tied for 2nd lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.5
Air Force’s opponents has attempted just 21.3 passes per game this season– lowest in FBS; Average: 31.8
Air Force has allowed 192.6 Passing Yards per game (4,237/22) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 244.2
Air Force has allowed 159.0 Passing Yards per game (1,431/9) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 242.4
Air Force has allowed 276.1 yards from scrimmage per game this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 385.1
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