New Mexico vs Boise St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Boise St is a -16.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico
  • New Mexico vs. Boise State Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

New Mexico (3-2) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on Boise State (3-2) on Oct. 11 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The New Mexico vs. Boise State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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New Mexico vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico+16.5 -11058.5 -110525
Boise State -16.5 -11058.5 -110-750

New Mexico vs Boise State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Boise St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

New Mexico vs Boise State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 34.12% ROI
  • New Mexico is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • New Mexico is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Boise State is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Boise State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Boise State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (56/451) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

New Mexico threw 0 TDs on 40 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

New Mexico TEs have been targeted 11 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico’s TEs has 38 receptions in 5 games (7.6 per game) this season — 2nd-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

New Mexico WRs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.6 receptions per game (38/5) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Boise State

New Mexico threw 0 TDs on 40 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

New Mexico TEs have been targeted 11 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico’s TEs has 38 receptions in 5 games (7.6 per game) this season — 2nd-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

New Mexico WRs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.6 receptions per game (38/5) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (56/451) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (56/451) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico threw 0 TDs on 40 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

New Mexico TEs have been targeted 11 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico’s TEs has 38 receptions in 5 games (7.6 per game) this season — 2nd-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

New Mexico WRs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.6 receptions per game (38/5) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (56/451) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Boise State sacked opponents 9 times in the Red Zone last season– most in FBS

Boise State has allowed opponents to catch 13 of 13 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 56%

Boise State sacked opponents 56 times last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico threw 0 TDs on 40 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

New Mexico TEs have been targeted 11 times in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

New Mexico’s TEs has 38 receptions in 5 games (7.6 per game) this season — 2nd-best among FBS TEs. Boise State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.

New Mexico WRs have averaged just 1.0 yards per reception (1 yards/1 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

New Mexico TEs have averaged 7.6 receptions per game (38/5) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3


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