New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 01, 2022, 11:07 AM
  • Colorado State (2-9) are -7.5 point favorites vs New Mexico (2-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 35 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The New Mexico Lobos (2-10) visit Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (3-9) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Fort Collins.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The New Mexico vs. Colorado State Over/Under is total points.

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New Mexico vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico
Colorado State

New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 61.9% confidence.

New Mexico vs Colorado State Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Colorado State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.85 Units / 73% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.40 Units / 86% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+6.45 Units / 79% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+3.25 Units / 81% ROI)

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • New Mexico is 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -71.07% ROI
  • New Mexico is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • New Mexico is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Colorado State is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -56.93% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-9 when betting the Over for -8.9 Units / -80.91% ROI
  • Colorado State is 9-1 when betting the Under for +7.9 Units / 71.82% ROI

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

New Mexico is 1-16 (.059) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .437

New Mexico is winless (0-9) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .355

New Mexico is 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

Colorado State is winless (0-14) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .350

Colorado State is 1-17 (.056) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Colorado State is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Colorado State is winless (0-14) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Colorado State

Colorado State’s TEs has 141 receptions in 21 games (6.7 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s TEs has 141 receptions in 21 games (6.7 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 3.7 yards per reception (77 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 40.0 receptions (120 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

New Mexico RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (528 yards / 147 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

New Mexico RBs have averaged just 2.7 Yards per Carry (115 yards/43 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State Skill Players have caught just 2 of 17 passes (12% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 57%

Colorado State TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Colorado State have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (53/273) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Colorado State TEs have 30 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico opponents has averaged 5.4 Passing Attempts per TD (49 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 5th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 28%

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 28%

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 14% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 23%

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has not recorded a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17.1

Colorado State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 294 attempts (1%) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Colorado State has allowed just 11.2 yards per completion (2,084 yards/186 completions) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.9

Colorado State has allowed 19 rushing TDs on just 63 carries (3.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Colorado State’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (36 PATs) this season– tied for lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.