New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • Colorado State (2-9) are -7.5 point favorites vs New Mexico (2-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 35 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The New Mexico Lobos (2-9) visit Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (2-9) on Nov. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Fort Collins.

Colorado State are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The New Mexico vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 35 total points.

Bet now on Colorado State vs New Mexico & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

New Mexico vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico+7.5 -11535 -110+230
Colorado State -7.5 -10535 -110-300

New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this game with 61.9% confidence.

New Mexico vs Colorado State Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Colorado State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.85 Units / 73% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.40 Units / 86% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 away games (+6.45 Units / 79% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+3.25 Units / 81% ROI)

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico has gone 2-7 against the spread this college football season (-5.65 Units / 0% ROI).

  • New Mexico is 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -71.07% ROI
  • New Mexico is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • New Mexico is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado State has gone 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -56.93% ROI
  • Colorado State is 1-9 when betting the Over for -8.9 Units / -80.91% ROI
  • Colorado State is 9-1 when betting the Under for +7.9 Units / 71.82% ROI

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

New Mexico is 1-16 (.059) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

New Mexico is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .437

New Mexico is winless (0-9) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .355

New Mexico is 1-4 (.200) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

Colorado State is winless (0-14) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .350

Colorado State is 1-17 (.056) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Colorado State is 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .451

Colorado State is winless (0-14) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Colorado State

Colorado State’s TEs has 141 receptions in 21 games (6.7 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s TEs has 141 receptions in 21 games (6.7 per game) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS TEs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 15.3 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among NonP5 defenses.

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 3.7 yards per reception (77 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 40.0 receptions (120 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (10 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

New Mexico RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (528 yards / 147 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

New Mexico RBs have averaged just 2.7 Yards per Carry (115 yards/43 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Colorado State Skill Players have caught just 2 of 17 passes (12% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 57%

Colorado State TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Colorado State have been sacked on 19% of pass attempts (53/273) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Colorado State TEs have 30 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico opponents has averaged 5.4 Passing Attempts per TD (49 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 5th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 28%

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 28%

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

New Mexico has allowed first downs on 14% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 23%

Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has not recorded a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17.1

Colorado State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 2 of 294 attempts (1%) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Colorado State has allowed just 11.2 yards per completion (2,084 yards/186 completions) this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.9

Colorado State has allowed 19 rushing TDs on just 63 carries (3.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Colorado State’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (36 PATs) this season– tied for lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.