- The Oklahoma Sooners are a -22 point favorite vs. the New Mexico Lobos
- New Mexico vs. Oklahoma Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
New Mexico (2-0) visit Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) to take on Oklahoma (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Norman, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Oklahoma Sooners are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -22 (-110).
The New Mexico vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | +22 -108 | 46.5 -108 | +1250 |
| Oklahoma | -22 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -2000 |
New Mexico vs Oklahoma Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the New Mexico Lobos and the Oklahoma Sooners, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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New Mexico Best Bets Today
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Oklahoma Best Bets Today
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+63.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico Lobos is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 21.74% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma Sooners is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Oklahoma is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Oklahoma is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Oklahoma is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma
New Mexico was winless (0-1) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .420
New Mexico was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
New Mexico was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
New Mexico was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
Oklahoma was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Oklahoma was 2-4 (.333) when in a one score game last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Oklahoma was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .668
Oklahoma was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma
Oklahoma’s TEs had 55 receptions in 13 games (4.2 per game) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. New Mexico’s defense allowed 21.7 receptions per game last season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s WRs had 179 receptions in 13 games (13.8 per game) last season — T-5th-best among SEC WRs. New Mexico’s defense allowed 21.7 receptions per game last season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among SEC WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs averaged 11.5 yards after the catch last season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 9.8 RAC last season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs averaged 11.5 yards after the catch last season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 6.0 RAC to RBs last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs averaged 11.5 yards after the catch last season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 9.8 RAC last season — 5th-best among P5 defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico gained 40+ yards on 2 of their 7 receptions (29%) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
New Mexico gained 20+ yards on 4 of their 7 receptions (57%) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 17%
New Mexico averaged 24.7 yards per reception (173 yards/7 catches) last week– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.4
New Mexico’s RBs averaged 11.5 yards after the catch last season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 9.8 RAC last season — 2nd-best among SEC defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs averaged 11.5 yards after the catch last season — 8th-best among FBS RBs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed just 6.0 RAC to RBs last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma were sacked on 20% of pass attempts (24/119) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among SEC Offenses; Average: 9%
Oklahoma Skill Players averaged just 9.7 yards per reception (2,242 yards/232 catches) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 12.8
Oklahoma Skill Players averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (777 yards/88 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 13.1
Oklahoma WRs averaged just 11.4 yards per reception (1,458 yards/128 catches) last season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 14.5
Oklahoma Skill Players fumbled 4 times in close and late situations last season– T-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico averaged a sack every 35.9 pass attempts (395 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.5
New Mexico had 4 interceptions last week– T-most in FBS
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico intercepted 3 of 395 attempts (131.7 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.9
New Mexico allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 420 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Oklahoma tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 47 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
Oklahoma tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 420 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 17%.
Oklahoma tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 420 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Oklahoma allowed 7 rushing TDs on 420 carries (60 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the SEC; Average: 28.1
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