- Western Kentucky is a -8.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico St
- New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
New Mexico State (3-4) visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on Western Kentucky (6-2) on Nov. 1 in Bowling Green, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Western Kentucky is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).
The New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +8.5 -105 | 52.5 -105 | 280 |
| Western Kentucky | -8.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 | -350 |
New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico St and Western Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
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New Mexico State Best Bets Today
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Western Kentucky Best Bets Today
- Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico St is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -4.06% ROI
- New Mexico State is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- New Mexico State is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky iss 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 5.19% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Western Kentucky was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Western Kentucky was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Western Kentucky is 13-8 (.619) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .446
Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .559
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Western Kentucky was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Western Kentucky is 13-8 (.619) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .446
Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .559
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Western Kentucky was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Western Kentucky is 13-8 (.619) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .446
Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .559
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky was undefeated (8-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Western Kentucky was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Western Kentucky is 13-8 (.619) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .446
Western Kentucky is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .559
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