- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors is a -7.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico State Aggies
- New Mexico State vs. Hawaii Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- TV Channel:
Broadcast Channel
New Mexico State (1-1) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on Hawaii (0-2) on Sep. 12 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:59 pm.
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-108).
The New Mexico State vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +7.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +230 |
| Hawaii | -7.5 -108 | 49.5 -108 | -285 |
New Mexico State vs Hawaii Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Hawai'i will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the New Mexico State Aggies and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
New Mexico State vs Hawaii Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hawai'i will cover the spread with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs New Mexico State Aggies and all games with BetMGM
New Mexico State Best Bets Today
- New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Hawaii Best Bets Today
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.60 Units / 19% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State Aggies is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Hawaii is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Hawaii is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Hawaii is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii
New Mexico State was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
New Mexico State was winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .454
New Mexico State was 3-7 (.273) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .460
New Mexico State was 2-7 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Hawai’i was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Hawai’i was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– 10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Hawai’i was 2-6 (.250) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .442
Hawai’i was 2-6 (.250) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .424
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Hawaii
Hawai’i’s offense threw for 3,778 passing yards in 13 games (290.6 YPG) last season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 236.8 passing yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s QBs threw for 3,744 passing yards in 13 games (288.0 YPG) last season — 9th-best among FBS teams. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 236.8 passing yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s RBs averaged 6.5 targets per game last season — T-12th-highest among FBS RBs. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 4.7 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 5.5 RAC to RBs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed 12.5 RAC last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s RBs gained 371 yards on 61 receptions (just 6.1 YPR) last season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 5.7 Yards Per Reception to RBs last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State Skill Players caught just 140 of 299 passes(47% Reception Pct) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%
New Mexico State WRs had no receptions on 13 targets in the Red Zone last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 52%
New Mexico State’s RBs averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 5.5 RAC to RBs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Skill Players caught just 5 of 18 passes(28% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 57%
New Mexico State’s RBs averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch last season — T-28th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed 12.5 RAC last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i’s offense threw for 3,778 passing yards in 13 games (290.6 YPG) last season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 236.8 passing yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i WRs averaged 10.5 receptions per game (126/12) in the 2nd half last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
Hawai’i WRs were targeted 64 times in short yardage situations last season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i RBs rushed for one TD on 18 carries in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Hawai’i’s QBs threw for 3,744 passing yards in 13 games (288.0 YPG) last season — 9th-best among FBS teams. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 236.8 passing yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico State allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 379 attempts (5%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
New Mexico State forced 2 fumbles on 459 carries (229.5 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
New Mexico State tackled opponents for a loss on just 49 of 459 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Hawaii Defensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.3
Hawai’i tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 69 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Hawai’i tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 69 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
Hawai’i has not allowed a passing touchdown in any of their last 29 drives — the Iowa Hawkeyes have the longest active streak at 62.
Hawai’i allowed 115.9 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 149.5
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