- Liberty is a -10.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico State
- Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The New Mexico State Aggies visit Williams Stadium to take on the Liberty Flames on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Lynchburg.
Liberty is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The New Mexico State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
Bet now on Liberty vs New Mexico State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
New Mexico State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +10.5 -110 | 52.5 -105 | +310 |
| Liberty | -10.5 -110 | 52.5 -115 | -400 |
New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 78.8% confidence.
New Mexico State vs Liberty Spread Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 73.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Liberty vs New Mexico State and all games with BetMGM
New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+14.20 Units / 342% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+7.75 Units / 185% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.94 Units / 38% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Liberty Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -10.49% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- New Mexico State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Liberty Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Liberty is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Liberty is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 30.3% ROI
- Liberty is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Liberty is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Liberty
New Mexico State is 2-15 (.118) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
New Mexico State is 1-15 (.062) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
New Mexico State is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .439
New Mexico State is 1-8 (.100) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Liberty: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
Liberty is 9-1 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .550
Liberty is 12-7 (.632) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .421
Liberty was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .545
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Liberty
Liberty’s WRs has gained 5,072 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s WRs has gained 5,072 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 795 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs gained 1,718 yards on 111 receptions (15.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 11.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 25th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State had just 162.2 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 12th-worst among FBS skill players. Liberty’s defense allowed just 199.8 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs averaged 15.3 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS WRs. Liberty’s defense allowed just 11.9 RAC to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 3.0 Yards per Carry (305 yards/101 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
New Mexico State WRs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico State WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes this season– tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State RBs have been targeted 6 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State RBs averaged 15.2 yards per reception (182 yards/12 catches) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.2
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends
Liberty’s WRs has gained 5,072 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty QBs have rushed for 62 yards in the 1st quarter this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
Liberty’s WRs has gained 5,072 yards on 347 receptions (14.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Liberty’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.0% of 795 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS defenses.
Liberty has gained 6,275 yards on 464 receptions (13.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS skill players. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed 196.6 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs since the 2021 season– 4th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 153.1
New Mexico State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 84 of 614 attempts (14%) since the 2021 season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%
New Mexico State has allowed first downs on 27% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 15%
New Mexico State has allowed first downs on 27% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%
New Mexico State intercepted 2 of 22 attempts (11.0 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.6
Liberty Flames Defensive Stats & Trends
Liberty has 5 interceptions this season– 2nd-most in FBS
Liberty has 5 interceptions this season– 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Liberty has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 11 of 31 carries (35%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 12%
Liberty has averaged 5.00 interceptions per game (5/1) this season– best in FBS; Average: 0.85
Liberty tackled opponents for a loss on 105 of 434 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Bet now on Liberty vs New Mexico State and all games with BetMGM
College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on national championship odds and Heisman Trophy odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
