New Mexico State vs Massachusetts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:41 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The New Mexico State Aggies (3-5) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on the UMass Minutemen (1-7) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Amherst.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for New Mexico State vs. Massachusetts is total points.

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New Mexico State vs. Massachusetts Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico State
Massachusetts

New Mexico State vs Massachusetts Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts New Mexico State will win this game with 52.4% confidence.

New Mexico State vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and Massachusetts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best New Mexico State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Massachusetts Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Massachusetts players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • New Mexico State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • New Mexico State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • New Mexico State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Massachusetts is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Massachusetts is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Massachusetts is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. Massachusetts

New Mexico State is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493

New Mexico State is winless (0-10) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .439

New Mexico State is 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

New Mexico State is winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .447

Massachusetts: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State

UMass is winless (0-1) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493

UMass is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .422

UMass is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442

UMass is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .447

Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. Massachusetts

UMass’s offense has averaged just 0.1 passing TDs per game this season — worst among FBS offenses. UConn’s defense has allowed just 0.6 passing TDs per game this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

UMass’s TEs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for worst among FBS TEs. UConn’s defense has allowed just 0.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for second-best among FBS defenses.

UMass’s offense has averaged just 0.1 passing TDs per game this season — worst among FBS offenses. UConn’s defense has allowed just 0.6 passing TDs per game this season — tied for second-best among FBS defenses.

There are no matchup notes available for this game

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico State Skill Players have no receptions on 2 targets in the Red Zone this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

New Mexico State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 40 receptions this season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

New Mexico State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 22.3 receptions (334 Rec/15 TDs) since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

New Mexico State Skill Players have averaged just 8.0 receptions per game (40/5) this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.6

New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 3.0 Yards per Carry (242 yards/80 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Massachusetts Offensive Stats & Trends

UMass Skill Players have just one touchdown on 40 receptions this season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

UMass has averaged 75.5 Passing Yards per game (453/6) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 239.4*

UMass WRs have caught just 4 of 14 passes (29% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 59%

UMass Skill Players have been targeted 12.3 times per game (74/6) this season– 3rd lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 30.3

UMass Skill Players have averaged just 6.7 receptions per game (40/6) this season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.6

New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 78 of 489 attempts (16%) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

New Mexico State has allowed a passer rating of 167.1 (489.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 133.3

New Mexico State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 78 of 489 attempts (16%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 10%

New Mexico State has allowed a passer rating of 167.1 (489.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.6

New Mexico State has allowed 9.7 Yards per Attempt (4,764 yards/489 attempts) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 7.7

UMass Minutemen Defensive Stats & Trends

UMass has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 72 of 466 attempts (15%) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

UMass has allowed 59 rushing TDs since last season– most in FBS

UMass has allowed 59 rushing TDs since last season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

UMass has allowed 41 rushing TDs in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most in FBS

UMass has allowed 15.2 yards per completion (4,322 yards/284 completions) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.