- New Mexico is a -1.5 point favorite vs. New Mexico State
- Total (Over/Under): 53 points
- Watch the game on MW Network
The New Mexico State Aggies visit University Stadium (NM) to take on the New Mexico Lobos on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Albuquerque.
New Mexico is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The New Mexico State vs. New Mexico Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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New Mexico State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico State | +2.5 -105 | 52.5 -110 | +130 |
| New Mexico | -2.5 -115 | 52.5 -110 | -160 |
New Mexico State vs New Mexico Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts New Mexico State will win this game with 52.6% confidence.
New Mexico State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 71.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico State and New Mexico, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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New Mexico State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+14.20 Units / 342% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+7.75 Units / 185% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.94 Units / 32% ROI)
- New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- New Mexico State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.10 Units / 21% ROI)
New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI).
- New Mexico State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -15.7% ROI
- New Mexico State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- New Mexico State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.85% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- New Mexico is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
New Mexico State is 1-15 (.062) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
New Mexico State is 2-15 (.118) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
New Mexico State is 1-8 (.100) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .389
New Mexico State is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .440
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico State
New Mexico is 1-18 (.053) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .421
New Mexico is winless (0-11) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .399
New Mexico is winless (0-7) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454
New Mexico was winless (0-10) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .414
Matchup Notes for New Mexico State vs. New Mexico
New Mexico’s QBs has thrown for 1,955 passing yards in 14 games (just 139.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — seventh-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 207.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s WRs have just 96.1 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — ninth-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 195.1 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 1,692 passing yards in 14 games (just 120.9 YPG) since the 2022 season — fifth-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico State’s defense has allowed just 207.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 2,996 passing yards in 16 games (just 187.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 220.0 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s QBs has thrown for 3,136 passing yards in 16 games (just 196.0 YPG) since the 2022 season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 220.0 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State’s WRs have just 147.2 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 35th-worst among FBS WRs. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 194.2 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State’s offense has thrown for 2,996 passing yards in 16 games (just 187.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 17th-worst among FBS offenses. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 220.0 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico State WRs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes this season– tied for 2nd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico State WRs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
New Mexico State WRs have 517 receiving yards this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 4.6 yards per reception (129 yards/28 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
New Mexico RBs have averaged just 3.1 Yards per Carry (207 yards/67 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 11.5 receptions per game (298/26) since the 2021 season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1
New Mexico RBs averaged just 2.7 Yards per Carry (129 yards/47 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
New Mexico RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (620 yards / 171 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico State has allowed just 113.4 receiving yards per game (1,815/16) to WRs since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 166.3
New Mexico State has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 66 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– tied for 27th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
New Mexico State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (19 completions/45 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%
New Mexico State has allowed 116.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 172.9
New Mexico State allowed 111.4 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 174.3
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has allowed 6 TD passes this season– tied for most in FBS
New Mexico has allowed 6 TD passes this season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams
New Mexico do not has an interception in 1 games this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 0.85
New Mexico allowed 13 TDs in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1
New Mexico allowed first downs on 14% of pass attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%
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