- Texas A&M is a -38.5 point favorite vs New Mexico
- Total (Over/Under): 49 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The New Mexico Lobos visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in College Station.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -38.5 ().
The New Mexico vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is total points.
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New Mexico vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| New Mexico | |||
| Texas A&M | – |
New Mexico vs Texas A&M Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
New Mexico vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Texas A&M, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ainias Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Evan Stewart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Max Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ainias Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- New Mexico went 1-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -73.28% ROI
- New Mexico went 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- New Mexico went 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Texas A&M went 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -68.69% ROI
- Texas A&M went 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Texas A&M went 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
New Mexico is 1-16 (.059) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .427
New Mexico is 1-18 (.053) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .422
New Mexico is winless (0-10) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .400
New Mexico is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .513
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
#23 Texas A&M was winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454
#23 Texas A&M is 3-10 (.231) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437
#23 Texas A&M is 4-9 (.308) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .494
#23 Texas A&M was winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .355
Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s QBs has thrown for 5,408 passing yards in 24 games (just 225.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 225.8 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s WRs had just 170.8 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 188.3 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M had just 220.4 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among SEC skill players. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 188.3 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s QBs has thrown for 3,132 passing yards in 24 games (just 130.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s QBs threw for 1,520 passing yards in 12 games (just 126.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — sixth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 164.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — best among P5 defenses.
New Mexico’s QBs threw for 1,520 passing yards in 12 games (just 126.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — sixth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 164.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico’s QBs has thrown for 3,132 passing yards in 24 games (just 130.5 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 188.9 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 3.7 yards per reception (86 yards/23 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2021 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
New Mexico’s QBs threw for 1,520 passing yards in 12 games (just 126.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — sixth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 164.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — best among P5 defenses.
New Mexico’s QBs threw for 1,520 passing yards in 12 games (just 126.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — sixth-worst among FBS teams. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 164.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico’s offense threw for 1,270 passing yards in 12 games (just 105.8 YPG) in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed just 164.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — best among SEC defenses.
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M’s QBs has thrown for 5,408 passing yards in 24 games (just 225.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. New Mexico’s defense has allowed just 225.8 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS defenses.
#23 Texas A&M WRs averaged 22.3 yards per reception (290 yards/13 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.3
Texas A&M’s WRs had just 170.8 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 188.3 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
#23 Texas A&M WRs averaged 22.3 yards per reception (290 yards/13 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.9
Texas A&M had just 220.4 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among SEC skill players. New Mexico’s defense allowed just 188.3 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico opponents averaged 7.3 Passing Attempts per TD (22 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9
New Mexico opponents averaged 7.3 Passing Attempts per TD (22 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: 4.0
New Mexico opponents has averaged 5.9 Passing Attempts per TD (53 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: 4.0
New Mexico has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 24 of 670 attempts (4%) since the 2021 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 2%
New Mexico has allowed 13.9 yards per completion (5,419 yards/391 completions) since the 2021 season– tied for 20th-worst in FBS; Average: 12.7
Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
#23 Texas A&M has allowed 17 rushing TDs on 135 carries (7.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 4.8
#23 Texas A&M has allowed 19 rushing TDs on 960 carries (50.5 Carries Per TD) since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 24
#23 Texas A&M has allowed 17 rushing TDs on 135 carries (7.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8
#23 Texas A&M allowed 164.8 Passing Yards per game (1,978/12) in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 243.2
#23 Texas A&M intercepted 4 of 328 attempts (82.0 pass attempts per int.) in the 2022 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 38.0
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