New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:39 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The New Mexico Lobos (2-7) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (4-5) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Logan.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for New Mexico vs. Utah State is total points.

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New Mexico vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico
Utah State

New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

New Mexico vs Utah State Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Utah State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best New Mexico Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for New Mexico players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record

New Mexico has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • New Mexico is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • New Mexico is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • New Mexico is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Utah State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Utah State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

New Mexico is winless (0-7) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .399

New Mexico is winless (0-8) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .387

New Mexico is 1-12 (.077) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .423

New Mexico is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico

Utah State is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .493

Utah State is 9-2 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .500

Utah State is 12-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .533

Utah State is 12-3 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Matchup Notes for New Mexico vs. Utah State

There are no matchup notes available for this game

New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

New Mexico’s QBs has thrown for 2,686 passing yards in 20 games (just 134.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among NonP5 defenses.

New Mexico’s offense has thrown for 2,283 passing yards in 20 games (just 114.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS offenses. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 192.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 3.7 yards per reception (77 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

New Mexico RBs have averaged just 2.6 Yards per Carry (87 yards/34 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

New Mexico Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 31.7 receptions (95 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State Skill Players have caught just 2 of 12 passes (17% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

Utah State RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 182 carries (91 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2

Utah State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 10 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Utah State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (575 yards/168 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Utah State QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends

New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 63 of 739 carries (9%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 19 of 275 carries (7%) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 13%

New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 63 of 739 carries (9%) since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 13%

New Mexico has allowed a passer rating of just 114.9 (227.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 135.4

New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 42 carries (7%) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 17%

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (4 completions/12 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– best in FBS; Average: 63%

Utah State has sacked opponents 10 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most in FBS

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 115 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (4 completions/12 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 115 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.