North Carolina vs Oregon Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Holiday Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 12:01 PM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Oregon Ducks (9-5) visit Petco Park to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (10-3) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Diego.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The North Carolina vs. Oregon Over/Under is total points.

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North Carolina vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina
Oregon

North Carolina vs Oregon Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 77.6% confidence.

North Carolina vs Oregon Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Oregon, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mar’Keise Irving has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kris Hutson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Chase Cota has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Troy Franklin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Mar’Keise Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Drake Maye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • North Carolina is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • North Carolina is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • North Carolina is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Oregon is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Oregon is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

#15 Oregon is 13-4 (.684) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415

#15 Oregon is 15-4 (.682) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

#15 Oregon is 8-2 (.727) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

#15 Oregon is 12-3 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .503

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

North Carolina is 1-7 (.125) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .344

North Carolina is 8-1 (.889) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .510

North Carolina is 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

North Carolina is 6-1 (.667) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. Oregon

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

#15 Oregon Skill Players have no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

#15 Oregon TEs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#15 Oregon TEs have been targeted 23 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

#15 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (24 Rec/6 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

#15 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (24 Rec/6 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

#24 North Carolina RBs have averaged 13.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (207 yards / 15 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

#24 North Carolina TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#24 North Carolina WRs have averaged 20.7 yards per reception (186 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.7

#24 North Carolina QBs have averaged 340.9 Passing Yards per game (3,409/10) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 243.7

#24 North Carolina TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

#15 Oregon has averaged a sack every 34.9 pass attempts (384 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 14.5

#15 Oregon has allowed first downs on 34% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%

#15 Oregon has averaged a sack every 25.5 pass attempts (867 Pass Attempts/34 Sacks) since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

#15 Oregon has allowed first downs on 34% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%

#15 Oregon has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/384) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 7%

North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends

#24 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 60 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

#24 North Carolina has averaged a sack every 31.2 pass attempts (343 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.7

#24 North Carolina has allowed 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (69 yards / 35 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.6

#24 North Carolina has averaged a sack every 31.2 pass attempts (343 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 14.5

#24 North Carolina has allowed 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (69 yards / 35 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.