North Carolina vs Syracuse Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

The JMA Wireless Dome is in Syracuse, New York, on Monday, January 16, 2023.
(AP Photo/Ted Shaffrey)
  • Syracuse is a -2 point favorite vs. North Carolina
  • North Carolina vs. Syracuse Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

North Carolina (2-5) visit JMA Wireless Dome to take on Syracuse (3-5) on Oct. 31 in Syracuse, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Syracuse is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The North Carolina vs. Syracuse Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Syracuse Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina+2 -11044.5 -105110
Syracuse -2 -11044.5 -115-135

North Carolina vs Syracuse Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Syracuse will win this game with 53.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Syracuse, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

North Carolina vs Syracuse Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Syracuse will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.86 Units / 61% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+10.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • North Carolina is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -8.26% ROI
  • North Carolina is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -58.71% ROI
  • North Carolina is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 50.98% ROI

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -15.91% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • Syracuse is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Syracuse is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

Syracuse averaged 370.0 Passing Yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 27.5 receptions per game (577/21) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.8

Syracuse Skill Players averaged 30.2 receptions per game (393/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .419

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

Matchup Notes for North Carolina vs. Syracuse

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .419

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

Syracuse averaged 370.0 Passing Yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 27.5 receptions per game (577/21) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.8

Syracuse Skill Players averaged 30.2 receptions per game (393/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse averaged 370.0 Passing Yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 27.5 receptions per game (577/21) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.8

Syracuse Skill Players averaged 30.2 receptions per game (393/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .419

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse averaged 370.0 Passing Yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

Syracuse Skill Players have averaged 27.5 receptions per game (577/21) since the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.8

Syracuse Skill Players averaged 30.2 receptions per game (393/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Syracuse Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .414

North Carolina was winless (0-4) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .419

North Carolina is winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465


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