- Indiana Hoosiers is a -40.5 point favorite vs. North Texas Mean Green
- North Texas vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
North Texas (0-0) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on Indiana (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
The Indiana Hoosiers are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -40.5 (-110).
The North Texas vs. Indiana Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | +40.5 -108 | 55.5 -105 | +12500 |
| Indiana | -40.5 -110 | 55.5 -112 | +1 |
North Texas vs Indiana Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 92.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas Mean Green and Indiana Hoosiers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Texas vs Indiana Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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North Texas Best Bets Today
- Indiana has hit the Moneyline in their last 15 games (+16.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Indiana Best Bets Today
- North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana
North Texas was 1-4 (.200) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .420
North Texas is 17-5 (.773) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2024 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .630
North Texas is 18-6 (.750) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2024 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582
North Texas is 12-6 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .520
Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576
Indiana was undefeated (10-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632
Indiana was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647
Indiana was 6-1 (.857) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Indiana
Indiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 404 attempts last season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana gained 3,820 yards on 291 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. North Texas’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Indiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 404 attempts last season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas’s offense threw for 4,452 passing yards in 14 games (318.0 YPG) last season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed just 188.8 passing yards per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas gained 4,452 yards on 323 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.
North Texas gained 4,452 yards on 323 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas’s offense threw for 4,452 passing yards in 14 games (318.0 YPG) last season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed just 188.8 passing yards per game last season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas gained 4,452 yards on 323 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among P5 defenses.
North Texas gained 4,452 yards on 323 receptions (13.8 YPR) last season — T-11th-best among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
North Texas RBs rushed for 42 TDs last season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas’s WRs gained 3,623 yards on 248 receptions (14.6 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends
Indiana Skill Players caught 29 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among FBS Teams
Indiana WRs caught 27 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Indiana WRs caught 27 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Indiana Skill Players caught 29 touchdown passes in the Red Zone last season– most among Power Conference Teams
Indiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 404 attempts last season — 10th-best among FBS offenses. North Texas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas allowed 3,020 rushing yards last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 141.6
North Texas forced 4 fumbles on 544 carries (136.0 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.7
North Texas allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 25 of 387 attempts (7%) last season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Indiana Defensive Stats & Trends
Indiana opponents averaged 48.6 Passing Attempts per TD (486 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 21.3
Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 107 of 413 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 107 of 413 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
Indiana tackled opponents for a loss on 107 of 413 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Indiana allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (12 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 58%
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