- Louisiana Tech is a -4.5 point favorite vs. North Texas
- Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The North Texas Mean Green visit Joe Aillet Stadium to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Ruston.
Louisiana Tech is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under is 67.5 total points.
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North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Texas | +4.5 -105 | 67.5 -110 | +160 |
| Louisiana Tech | -4.5 -115 | 67.5 -110 | -190 |
North Texas vs Louisiana Tech Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Louisiana Tech will win this game with 62.1% confidence.
North Texas vs Louisiana Tech Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana Tech will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and Louisiana Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+10.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+10.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Louisiana Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+5.40 Units / 130% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.10 Units / 83% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- North Texas is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -100% ROI
- North Texas is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- North Texas is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Louisiana Tech is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Louisiana Tech is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.98% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Louisiana Tech is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech
North Texas is winless (0-2) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283
Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
Louisiana Tech is 3-17 (.150) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
Louisiana Tech is 2-18 (.095) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .406
Louisiana Tech was winless (0-5) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .452
Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech’s QBs has thrown for 4,143 passing yards in 15 games (276.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS teams. North Texas’s defense has allowed 278.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s WRs has averaged 25.9 targets per game since the 2022 season — 23rd-highest among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 17.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2022 season — second-worst among FBS defenses.
Louisiana Tech’s WRs have 202.1 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 25th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 218.2 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2022 season — third-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 489 attempts since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s WRs have 229.5 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 88.3 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.
North Texas’s WRs have 229.5 receiving yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 130.3 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas WRs averaged 18.5 yards per reception (1,743 yards/94 catches) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1
North Texas Skill Players averaged 15.7 yards per reception (2,607 yards/166 catches) in the 2022 season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0
North Texas’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.9% of 489 attempts since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Texas WRs averaged 19.5 yards per reception (1,270 yards/65 catches) in the 1st half in the 2022 season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
North Texas RBs caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for most among FBS Teams
Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech WRs have been targeted 49 times this season– 4th-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana Tech have been sacked 8 times this season– 3rd-most among FBS Offenses
Louisiana Tech Skill Players have 15 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana Tech Skill Players have been targeted 75 times this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Louisiana Tech WRs have 165 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas has allowed 379.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 126.1
North Texas has allowed 6 rushing TDs this season– tied for 2nd-most in FBS
North Texas has allowed 357.0 rushing yards per game (357/1) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.5
North Texas has allowed 6 rushing TDs this season– tied for 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
North Texas has no interceptions (60 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.4
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Louisiana Tech allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 443 carries (8%) in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%
Louisiana Tech allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 35 of their 443 carries (8%) in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%
Louisiana Tech has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 41 of their 600 carries (7%) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%
Louisiana Tech has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 41 of their 600 carries (7%) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3%
Louisiana Tech allowed 6.2 Yards per Carry (2,747 yards/443 carries) in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.3
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