North Texas vs Temple Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

Temple Head Coach Stan Drayton looks towards the field during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Duke in Durham, N.C., Friday, Sept. 2, 2022. (AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
(AP Photo/Ben McKeown)
  • North Texas is a -11 point favorite vs. Temple
  • North Texas vs. Temple Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

The North Texas Mean Green (5-6) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Temple Owls (3-8) on Nov. 30 in Philadelphia, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -11 (-110).

The North Texas vs. Temple Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

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North Texas vs. Temple Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Texas-11 -11064.5 -110-400
Temple +11 -11064.5 -110+300

North Texas vs Temple Prediction:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both North Texas and Temple, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

North Texas vs Temple Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 89.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Temple have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.30 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Temple have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)

North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Texas is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.45% ROI).

  • North Texas is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -10.92% ROI
  • North Texas is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • North Texas is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Temple is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.86% ROI).

  • Temple is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -33.9% ROI
  • Temple is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Temple is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Temple

North Texas is winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425

North Texas is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .432

North Texas is 1-4 (.200) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .333

North Texas is 3-8 (.273) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .385

Temple: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas

Temple is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .534

Temple is winless (0-9) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425

Temple is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .470

Temple is 3-14 (.176) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .381

Matchup Notes for North Texas vs. Temple

Temple’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 9.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch this season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.3 RAC this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s QBs has thrown for 3,663 passing yards in 11 games (333.0 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS teams. Temple’s defense has allowed just 193.2 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s RBs has averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch this season — T-6th-worst among FBS RBs. Temple’s defense has allowed 11.1 RAC to RBs this season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.

North Texas’s offense has thrown for 3,694 passing yards in 11 games (335.8 YPG) this season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense has allowed just 193.2 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

North Texas WRs have 35 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

North Texas Skill Players had 9 receptions in the Red Zone last week– most among FBS Teams

North Texas WRs have averaged 21.5 receptions per game (236/11) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

North Texas WRs have been targeted 33.8 times per game (777/23) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.7

North Texas WRs have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Temple Offensive Stats & Trends

Temple RBs have rushed for 5 TDs on 54 carries (10.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Temple TEs have been targeted 9.5 times per game (218/23) since the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Temple TEs have been targeted 5.0 times per game (114/23) in the 2nd half since the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6

Temple TEs were targeted 12.8 times per game (153/12) in the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Temple TEs were targeted 6.9 times per game (83/12) in the 2nd half in the 2023 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.5

North Texas Mean Green Defensive Stats & Trends

North Texas has forced 3 fumbles on 471 carries (157.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.1

North Texas has forced 3 fumbles on 471 carries (157.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 44.1

North Texas has forced 9 fumbles on 1,015 carries (112.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 42.4

North Texas allowed 231.2 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 141.6

North Texas has forced 9 fumbles on 1,015 carries (112.8 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.0

Temple Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Temple allowed 9.0 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Temple has tackled opponents for a loss on just 39 of 452 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Temple intercepted 3 of 326 attempts (108.7 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.2

Temple has tackled opponents for a loss on just 39 of 452 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Temple allowed 9.0 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8


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About the Author

Nick Hennion

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Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.