Northern Illinois vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

Arizona football stadium
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Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The Arizona Wildcats are a -34.5 point favorite vs. the Northern Illinois Huskies
  • Northern Illinois vs. Arizona Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: TNT | HBOM

Northern Illinois (0-2) visit Casino Del Sol Stadium to take on Arizona (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 pm.

The Arizona Wildcats are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -34.5 (-108).

The Northern Illinois vs. Arizona Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

Bet now on Arizona Wildcats vs Northern Illinois Huskies & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Northern Illinois vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Illinois+34.5 -11049.5 -108+4500
Arizona -34.5 -10849.5 -110-35000

Northern Illinois vs Arizona Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 94.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Northern Illinois Huskies and the Arizona Wildcats, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Northern Illinois vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 64.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Arizona Wildcats vs Northern Illinois Huskies and all games with BetMGM


  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.45 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northern Illinois Huskies is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Northern Illinois is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona Wildcats is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Arizona is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Arizona is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Arizona is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

Northern Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Northern Illinois was 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-15th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Northern Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble last season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Northern Illinois was 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .604

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois

Arizona was 2-6 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Arizona was 1-8 (.111) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Arizona was 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Arizona was 2-1 (.667) when in a one score game last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Arizona

Arizona’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed just 15.7 receptions per game last season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s QBs threw for 3,318 passing yards in 13 games (255.2 YPG) last season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed just 173.9 passing yards per game last season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s WRs had 208.8 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed just 173.9 receiving yards per game last season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Northern Illinois’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 4.9% of 244 attempts last season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts last season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Northern Illinois’s WRs gained 890 yards on 85 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Northern Illinois’s TEs had 10 receptions in 11 games (just 0.9 per game) last season — 4th-worst among FBS TEs. Arizona’s defense allowed just 16.0 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 4.9% of 244 attempts last season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts last season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Northern Illinois’s WRs gained 890 yards on 85 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) last season — T-5th-worst among FBS WRs. Arizona’s defense allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Northern Illinois’s TEs had 10 receptions in 11 games (just 0.9 per game) last season — 4th-worst among FBS TEs. Arizona’s defense allowed just 16.0 receptions per game last season — 3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Northern Illinois’s offense threw for 1,186 passing yards in 12 games (just 98.8 YPG) last season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. Arizona’s defense allowed just 165.3 passing yards per game last season — 8th-best among FBS defenses.

Northern Illinois averaged just 7.5 yards per completion (308 yards/41 completions) on 3rd down last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona TEs averaged 23.2 yards per reception (93 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona TEs had no touchdowns on 3 receptions in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 1.9

Arizona’s TEs had 38 receptions in 13 games (just 2.9 per game) last season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed just 15.7 receptions per game last season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s QBs threw for 3,318 passing yards in 13 games (255.2 YPG) last season — 35th-best among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense allowed just 173.9 passing yards per game last season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona RBs had 12 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois allowed 1.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0

Northern Illinois allowed 1.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 25 touches) on 3rd and short last season– best in FBS; Average: 5.1

Northern Illinois allowed 7 rushing TDs on 53 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Northern Illinois allowed 7 rushing TDs on 53 carries (7.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.6

Northern Illinois allowed 10 rushing TDs on 412 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 34 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 10%.

Arizona tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 34 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Arizona opponents averaged 42.6 Passing Attempts per TD (383 Pass Attempts/9 Passing TDs) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 21.3

Arizona allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (208 completions/383 attempts) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Arizona had 22 interceptions last season– T-2nd-most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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